Baseball Mogul projects records adjusted without steroids...

by sarchasmic on Apr 22, 2005 6:52 AM PDT

Purely speculative and useless info, of course, but they have some interesting takes, foremost among A's fans being that Mark McGwire would hold the single-season HR record at 64, adjusting Mr. Balco's high to 61. Reason?

"Mark McGwire had a greater established level of "home runs per at bat" before his record-breaking 1998 season, including a 49-homer season in his rookie year. By contrast, Barry Bonds' 73-homer year was a greater deviation from his established performance level."

It's probably fair to note that Baseball Mogul is "not surmising the guilt or innocence of Mr. McGwire or Mr. Bonds. We are simply using the Baseball Mogul statistical and physics engines to "replay" the last 20 years without the estimated effects of steroids on baseball as a whole. "

Check out the link here:

http://www.sportsmogul.com/content/steroids.htm

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The record books are, unfortunately, merely the record books. Every record needs some context.

E.g. Ty Cobb had 4189 hits in his career... but it was before non-whites were allowed to play in the big leagues and before the split finger was invented... and he was a terrible person.

So Barry will have his record, but there will always be the context that everyone was juicing.

Given that, it's still pretty unbelievable to me that he hit as well as he did (as a physical feat).

by Apricot on Apr 22, 2005 11:20 AM PDT reply actions