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Around SBN: Please, Someone Make Bob Sapp Stop Already

No such thing as a great bullpen

I would argue that, in the current paradigm of the way team's organize their rosters, there is no such thing as a great bullpen.  For the most part, pitchers pitch their way into the bullpen by not being good enough to start.  So it's great that the A's improved their bullpen - relative to last year's - but that alone doesn't make up for the loss of starting pitching.  Closers may be an exception to this rule, but a strong argument could be made that the "closer" position is way overvalued.  
The A's bullpen was terrible last year - would a random sample of 7 ML relief pitchers have done better?  Probably.  But without Haren producing (which he is, and that's great) and getting more value from the Hudson deal than a mediocre Juan Cruz (who, by categorization as a middle-reliever, is actually a mediocre pitcher), I don't see how the A's will improve.  ERA's for bullpens should be lower than for starters, but that is more a function of the game-environment in which they are pitching.  (It would be intersting if the bullpen era had a multiplier that took into account inherited runners scored, how many outs when the bullpen came in the game, quality of batters faced, etc...)  
So my point is that a "great" bullpen may be overrated, though it is crucial that the bullpen is not terrible.

On a separate but related note, what if there were no real "roles".  What if all pitchers were just pitchers and pitched until they showed signs of tiring or the game was out of hand so a lesser pitcher comes in to save the superior pitchers arm?  Maybe you'd pull Rich Harden after 2 innnings if he has a 6 run lead so you can use him again in two days?  You'd simply rank by quality, and everyone would be situational.

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actually
more than half relievers dont have the stamina to start, unless thats what you ment.
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 13, 2005 12:02 PM PDT reply actions  

That comment doesn't really mean anything...
because the term 'starting' has become somewhat fluid.

by tblazrdude on Apr 13, 2005 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

ahhh? what
Huston Street was groomed to be a closer.

by oakwin2004 on Apr 13, 2005 12:06 PM PDT reply actions  

But my point is
that he's just a good pitcher with a superfluous title.  If he's so good, maybe you put him in in the 4th with bases loaded and let him pitch until he is tired.  Maybe you start him for two innings (because he's not a "stamina" guy) against the heavy hitting Bosox to keep you in the game and hope your team does some damage against the their pitchers.  At least after two innings, you have a good idea of whether or not to burn your other superior pitchers' arms that day.

by iceplant on Apr 13, 2005 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Street
Could go 8 innings if he wanted. In fact, he did just that for Team Usa a few years ago.
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 13, 2005 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, right
If he could,  he'd be our fifth starter.
Fearing Mecir since 2000.

by salb918 on Apr 13, 2005 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Obviously not all the time.
But he did it. It's a fact. Like Brad Lidge in the playoffs: He'll go as long as we need him too.
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 13, 2005 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

What you're saying
Is that Street isn't a babied closer-type (which is great).  At this level, though, I just don't see him being effective a second or third time through a lineup.  I have no doubt that in the future, we'll see him put up three big zeroes in an extra-innings game.  I hope we can make him a 100-inning relief ace, as opposed to a closer.

Still, not that I don't love the kid, but something tells me that if he could start, we would have made him a starter.  This organization above all others knows the relative value of an elite closer to an average starter.  That's why Rich Harden isn't closing for us - in a lesser organization, like the Rockies, he might be a closer.

Fearing Mecir since 2000.

by salb918 on Apr 13, 2005 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

remember harden almost was closing for us!
back in 2003 they didn't think he could cut it as a starter (i think he had major control problems at the time?) and were going to make him a relief pitcher, with blanton being the starter.  
that would really have sucked...

by xbhaskarx on Apr 13, 2005 6:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

hehe
the rockies would give him a 300 million dollar contract then make him their 'ace'.

If anyone could benefit from the idea posted above of a rotating pitching staff, it would be the rockies. The challenges of pitching at coors field make the entire 5 man starting staff and a bullpen with set tasks ludicrously stupid. Their record shows that they have no idea what they are doing.

Baseball is a market game. This site helps create a market. Blez makes the site. Blez is helping the A's win the world series.

by BaseballTao on Apr 13, 2005 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nonsense
Of course there are great bullpens. The A's bullpens of the late 80s were great: they made mediocre starters look good, and good ones look great. The Angels bullpen of '02 and the Yankees bullpen of '04 were great. The A's bullpen of '05 has the potential to be great.

It makes no sense at all to say there is such a thing as a terrible bullpen but no such thing as a great one. If you can measure the quality of a bullpen then some are going to come out at the high end of the range; they are the ones you call great.

by matthias on Apr 13, 2005 12:22 PM PDT reply actions  

C'mon now
Basically what iceplant is proposing is using the 3 innings for each pitcher per game.  The A's tried this in the mid 90's, and it failed miserably.  They had 3 pitcher for the game, each pitched 3 innings.  Therefore the starter didnt even go far enough to get the win.  

And of course there are good bullpens.  Anaheim won the World Series with one.  Take Isringhausen.  He couldnt cut it as a starter, same with Gagne.  They throw so much gas, that after the 4th inning, they are worn out.  Your starting pitcher is PAID to start and give you at least 6 quality innings.  Thats why they get the big money.  You're telling me that if Harden has a 6-0 lead and a no hitter going into the 6th, that you would pull him??  That makes absolutley no sense at all.  

by SoCal As Fan on Apr 13, 2005 12:38 PM PDT reply actions  

missing a big point...
A big factor that determines whether a pitcher should be a starter or reliever, is pitch selection and pitching smarts...the ability to mix up and confuse a batter over multiple face-offs, as opposed to just simply out performing the batter in a particular at-bat.

You'll find a lot of pitchers with good stuff, but sub-standard results will make great relievers...Juan Cruz is a good example of that...sometimes it's because they don't have great off-speed stuff, or they don't have a change-up, or they only have 2 pitches (like k-rod)...

but the bottom line is that the criteria for a pitching staff is more than just making the top five the starters and the bottom seven the relievers

by okteds on Apr 13, 2005 12:39 PM PDT reply actions  

I like the thought.....
using pithcers in a non-standard way. Say, for example a pitcher is excellent the first two times through the lineup, but gets smoked the third time, you could start the bullpen and finish with the starter. Or if Zito doesn't have "it" against Tampa Bay and you discover it early so you throw Harden and hopefully Zito will have "it" in 2 days. The problem is that when you have roles you know what is expected of you there are no surprises, but when you don't know what your job from day-to-day is it can cause stress on the pitchers, which probably wouldn't be helpful. However, maybe the stress on the opposing lineup not knowing who is coming at them would be stressful as well. Either way, this will probably never happen. If it did ever happen it would be pretty exciting to watch though

by hoyos on Apr 13, 2005 12:40 PM PDT reply actions  

No oway
Nothing would ever be organized. You wouldn't be able to set up Zito-Harden-Haren for the big Angels series and things like that.
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 13, 2005 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've always wondered
why extremely crappy teams didn't do that once in a while. They could certainly eek out a few more wins that way just by messing with convention.

by tblazrdude on Apr 13, 2005 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've always wondered
why extremely crappy teams didn't do that once in a while. They could certainly eek out a few more wins that way just by messing with convention.

by tblazrdude on Apr 13, 2005 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

A thought provoking entry
I've felt similar about middle relievers and overvalued closers for many years now and you've managed to capture all of my feelings, and then some, in just this one post right here.

Which leads me to wonder, aloud, why no minor league manager (at least not to my knowledge) has thought of going with an eight or nine man staff where the pitchers earn their starts with consistency in the pen, keep their 'starter status' through continued consistency while starting, and be banished to the pen with poor performance(s).  If a manager could sell the notion to their staff's members - with clearly spelled out criteria for evaluation and limited exceptions to the criteria - would the pitchers buy into it and give their managers better performances in the aggregate?

How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb-thrower

by LowcountryJoe on Apr 13, 2005 12:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Believe me...
...even though it sounds as though I borrowed from some of the latter opinions on this thread and have passed them off as my own - sounds that way because there's some good posts recently.  I was busy typing out my response without the benfit of seeing the newest ones.
How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb-thrower

by LowcountryJoe on Apr 13, 2005 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

interesting
in the playoffs, starters can become relievers.  so i think that implies that starters are starters in the regular season because they can be counted on to pitch a lot of quality innings, whereas in the playoffs you only operate one series at a time.  and a great bullpen is one that can emulate the starters, i.e., provide good pitching after the starters are done.  since it's only necessary that they do it for a few innings, then you can get away with using 2-pitch pitchers, for example.

by sec119 on Apr 13, 2005 1:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Many relievers are failed starters
that doesn't make them mediocre starters - it makes them relievers. Some failed starters turned relievers are good - Eric Gagne, for example. Others are not good. Relief pitching takes a different skillset than starting. It requires a pitcher who can dominate in short bursts rather than produce consistent quality, though not necessarily dominance over a longer period. One is a sprint, the other is a marathon. You wouldn't have said that Carl Lewis was a mediocre runner because he couldn't post a good time in a marathon.
devo's gf: "what is it that you write about all day when they don't even play any games?"

by devo on Apr 13, 2005 1:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Tell Los Angeles de Los Angeles
that there is no such thing as a great bullpen. The on the WS two years ago and their bullpen only threw one less inning than their rotation (31-30).
devo's gf: "what is it that you write about all day when they don't even play any games?"

by devo on Apr 13, 2005 1:09 PM PDT reply actions  

please stop this
idea. starting pitchers and relievers prepare differently. Starters throw pens between starts and this idea would keep pitchers routines out of whack. Overuse would be a problem for relievers. Would you mind giving me a specific example of how this idea would playout? thanks.

by oakwin2004 on Apr 13, 2005 1:13 PM PDT reply actions  

It's 'outside the box' thinking
How often is the pen instrumental in a game if we're to set the creteria for 'instrumental' at..say..being up by three runs and down by..say..one run after a whole fifth inning?  What do you suppose the the percentage of games are that fit into this catagory?  I don't know, I'm just throwing it out there.  Anybody have an idea?
How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb-thrower

by LowcountryJoe on Apr 13, 2005 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

on the contrary
Most relievers are just not good enough to be starters.  Some seem to just be cut out for "relief" - they can only dominate in short bursts.  But they are (like Gagne) the exception, not the rule.  In fact, prevailing wisdom was to use Gagne as a starter - he only became a "closer" out of necessity and frustration - as you point out.  So I would counter that these so-called relievers are just short duration guys.  There will be guys that can't stay strong for as long, but should they necessarily be pigeon-holed as "setup" men or "closers".  Isn't the start of the game against Boston just as important as the 8th inning of a 6-2 game against KC?

by iceplant on Apr 13, 2005 1:24 PM PDT reply actions  

I can't take it! (lol)
When you say not good enough, do you mean stamina wise?
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 13, 2005 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Go tell that to Tim Hudson
he had another closer blow yet another dominant start last night. He has avearged over 7 innings per start for years - All of Foulks blown saves two years ago were Huddy's starts.
Or Bob Welch who won 27 games for the A's in a season with 2 complete games averaging 6 2/3 innings - Eck saved 19 of those wins!!
Last year if the A's had a bullpen they would have made the playoffs - they led the AL in blown saves.
The Angels won the WS without a #1 starter as good as the 3 A's starters! - Bullpen!!

by Aparicio11 on Apr 13, 2005 1:27 PM PDT reply actions  

ERA...
Should be how we measure pitchers. Not Wins and Losses

by hoyos on Apr 13, 2005 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great Is A Relative Phrase
   Your post is an interesting one but I have issues with your suppositions.
   Using the A's as an expample, did BB go out to create a "great' pen or to improve on the one he had? Any team blowing 28 saves in 1 year would cause a reaction in any half-witted GM. Last year's model of extending pitcher's such as Mulder deeper into games and watching them burn out would be enough impetus for re- thinking your strategy regarding pitching. BB essentially stated that he couldn't expect more this year out of the B3 than what he saw last. Nor did he have the resources to do so. Thus, why not get some talented young pitchers who may not have to go so far into games initially, until they prove they can attain a quality start on a regular basis.
   Being influenced by La Russa's model of shortening the game with his use of Eckersly is a strong case in point. If you can shorten it by 1 inning than why not 2 or 3? If a pitcher , late in a game can perform better  than a starter still pitching in inning 6,7,or 8, why not bring him in? Who cares if he was a failed starter? This activity of course led to looking for pitchers through statistical analysis that led to the emergence of pitchers such as our LOOGY, Ricardo Rincon, who has been brought in for very specific circumstances.
   So will we see relief pitchers blowing down the door getting into Cooperstown? No way, but there is no reason to find great relief pitchers in each generation distiniguishing themselves from the rest. Likewise, managers and teams with the resources can generate great staffs (including the pen) that are superior to others.
   I agree, Iceplant (nasty stuff BTW when your golf ball ends up in it), that relief pitchers sample size can be a bit skewed based upon the types of hitters they are exposed to.
   Great pens form rarely. We have to acknowlege teams that have assembled them when it happens. If it were easy, all the teams would have them. They are comprised of pitchers that were former starters (Eck) and pitchers that turn into great starters (Hershiser).
   Regarding the role of a pitching staff with no roles defined, it happens all of the time in Little League  or Pony Baseball. That's not meant as an insult. When players reach a higher level, they do become creatures of habit. Peterson's handling of our B3 was a great example of success through routine. If Zito has a bad outing, making him available 2 days later might work but may affect his overall performance over the course of an entire season.
Why mess with his confidence?
   Oakland and other WS winners have had great pens in the past. It will continue to happen but there are so many factors that go into developing them, that the process acheiving a great pen is usually only seen in relative terms and also very rare.

by Gerard on Apr 13, 2005 1:46 PM PDT reply actions  

Wrong
I think the Eck proved you wrong.  Some pitcher pitch great the first time through the lineup and drop off.  This kind of pitcher make a good relief pitcher.

The importance of a bullpin was demonstrated last year.

It takes a special mental ability to pitch the 9th with a one run lead.  Closers are not over rated.

Jim

by jarforcefatherofforce on Apr 13, 2005 4:18 PM PDT reply actions  

i admire and respect much of james' ideas
...but i believe he needs to rethink his ideas about the roles of pitchers within the bullpen and how relievers are utilized. from a pure statistical perspective the rational is that when a team is in the lead after 7-8 innings the "most important outs" might be in the 7-8 ininng so the most effective reliever should be used.

what most statistical analysis fails to include is the personal psyche of the athlete. athletes, like humans in general, function at a higher level of competence when given a very specific task. much the same can be said about a MLB pitching staff. there are starters, middle/long relievers, situational relievers and "the closer". each player is slotted according to talents-both in a phyiscal nature and a psychological prespective. example: last year with rhodes. rhodes is a phyiscally gifted pitcher but due to psychological or emotional deficiencies (in the role of a "closer" anyway) he was a utter failure. now that rhodes is back in a more comfortable role in cleveland in '05 he is competing again at a reasonably high level.  

anyway, those are my thoughts. might be right- might be wrong.    

"Hey Ho Let's Go!"- The 2005 A's, kickin' some ass.

by bigelephant on Apr 13, 2005 5:46 PM PDT reply actions  

stats can't measure things that have never happene
d ...

Something has to be tried a few times before it can be shown to work or not work. The ace reliever theory has almost never been tested - it's a theory on his end that it would work as well as a theory on your end that it wouldn't.

His ace reliever theory also doesn't have anything to do with the "closer mentality". There may very well be a special mindset necessary to pitch the 9th - but, theoretically, the Danny Olbs or Billy Taylors of the world should be able to take that job, while the Riveras and Gagnes would be the ace relievers.

devo's gf: "what is it that you write about all day when they don't even play any games?"

by devo on Apr 13, 2005 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Relief pitching seemed to get popular in the 70's
162 games is a marathon.
When the season is done and you are in the playoffs wouldn't you like your 3 best starters fresh for the playoffs?
And if so, wouldn't that be easier with 8 inning games than with 9 inning games. and easier yet with 6 or 7 inning games?
and if that is so and a 300 game winning starter  called Eck still has the ability AND DRIVE to pitch 1 to 3 innings, wouldn't it be logical to insert him there?
And since that is logical, isn't it also logical to have a very dynamic lefty named Honeycutt pitch the 8th, to set the Eck up?
But what if you win games in bunches? You don't want to run these guys down in consecutive games, ... good thing Geno was available.

Ex starters as relievers is more logical than college kids.

  • They have seen and done it all
  • They know what they are doing
  • They know who is holding the bat
  • They know how to prepare
  • They field better, and back up plays better, get involved in run downs, and make late inning defense of the infield an asset.
  • They VALUE the role of reliever and what it can do for their career, livelihood, and ache for glory
  • Their reputation is instant creditibility with the rest of the team.
  • Pitchers in their mid twenties vs mid thirties do not have the same resiliency or body strengths, reliever is more resilient.
  • A reliever adds drama to the last inning and that is GOOD gate.
       BUT MOST OF ALL!

        Offenses had hitters of all descript on the benches to pinch-hit in the late innings. It was only a matter of time before "late innings" pitchers were waiting on the benches to greet them.

"all a's all the time." xbhaskarx 3/28/05

by A s Eh on Apr 13, 2005 11:47 PM PDT reply actions  

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