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Around SBN: Nevin Shapiro Vows To Bring Down Miami

Offense comments

First, Diary...

Yes, it is early, but...

OBP/SLG/BA
Kotsay .438/.483/.379
Ellis .467/.429/.429
Hatty .385/.500/.333
Scutaro .348/.350/.250
Chavez .355/.375/.208

Kotsay is a stud.
Ellis is making his comeback.
Hatteberg is showing why Spring Training doesn't mean that much.
Scutaro is proving he really did learn to take pitches in the off season.
Chavez isn't getting pitches to hit.

Durazo has to start hitting again.  Make teams pay for putting Chavez on at a clip .150 higher than he is hitting.

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Ellis
No extra base hits.
Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Apr 12, 2005 9:23 AM PDT reply actions  

My thoughts
I was about to post a new diary, then noticed this and thought it would be better to continue the discussin here.

Buster Olney has this to say about the A's in his latest blog entry:

"Oakland got pounded, 10-3, as Eric Hinske ripped into them, and the small sample of games indicates the Athletics may have trouble consistently generating runs."

Well, maybe.  We've certainly have had offense issues at times during the last two years.  Here is where our hitters are at in this young season:

(Numbers are at bats, BA, OBP, SLG, and OPS)

Mark Kotsay     29  .379 .438 .483 .920
Jason Kendall   28  .250 .276 .250 .526
Nick Swisher    26  .192 .222 .423 .645
S. Hatteberg    24  .333 .385 .500 .885
Eric Chavez     24  .208 .355 .375 .730
E. Durazo        24  .167 .259 .167 .426
Eric Byrnes      22  .227 .292 .500 .792
Marco Scutaro  20  .250 .348 .350 .698
Keith Ginter      15  .133 .278 .533 .811
Mark Ellis          14  .429 .467 .429 .895
Bobby Kielty     10  .000 .091 .000 .091
C. Thomas        7   .000 .222 .000 .222

Here's what will likely happen:

Kotsay:    slight decrease in offensive performance.
Kendall:   large increase overall.  There is no way he will carry anything close to a .276 OBP throughout the season.
Hatteberg: decrease.  He typically carries an OPS in the .700s.
Chavez:    large increase.  His BA, OBP, and SLG suggest he is slumping right now.
Durazo:    large increase.  Same reasoning.  I don't think Durazo has had any extra-base hits.
Byrnes:    slight increase in OBP.
Scutaro:   probably not much change overall.
Ginter:    increase in OBP, and maybe a slight decrease in slugging.  
Ellis:     large decrease in performance.
Kielty and Thomas: large increases for both.  Even Kielty won't have these numbers for long.

Team Stats: 248, .238 .314 .363 .677
Opposing team: 227 .242 .317 .374 .691

The good news is that I think what we can reasonably expect to see is a lot of upside from our offense as the season progresses.  We're experiencing some early bumps, but naysayers predicting offensive doom are saying nay too soon.  The season has just begun.

(BTW: has anyone noticed that Damian Miller is leading the NL in batting at .471?)

"The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." -Catfish Hunter

by kaweahkaweah on Apr 12, 2005 11:08 AM PDT reply actions  

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