FanPost

PECOTA: A's Win West

A's 91-71
Angels 86-76
Rangers 82-80
Mariners 80-82

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/OAK.php (subscription necessary)

In their middle 50% rankings, the A's boast a remarkably consistent rotation, with Barry Zito posting the best era - 4.37, while Keiichi Yabu takes up the rear at 4.62. Dotel bounces back and is excellent in relief, Kalero is a stud, Bradford is strong, but Cruz, Duke, and Rincon disappoint. Thanks to across the board strong performances, the A's lead the league, allowing 747 runs.

For the Halos, Escobar remains strong and posts a 4.06, while Colon bounces back somewhat to a 4.49. The rest of the rotation is in the high 4's. The 'pen is strong across the board, led by an excellent Franky Rodriguez and Brendan Donelly. They allow a strong 758 runs.

Check out the offense, though:

VORP by POS
PO A's Angels
Ca 34_ 4
1b 27_ 11
2b 29_ 27
3b 54_ 40
ss 41_ 26
LF 25_ 32
CF 33_ 27
RF 24_ 65
DH 39_ 24

To 304 255
*may not add up due to rounding

At every spot except the corner outfield positions, the A's beat the Angels, most of them by considerable amounts. The A's outscore the Angels 854 to 808.

PECOTA also shows the A's having a lot more upside, across the board when comparing 50th percentile score to 75th percentile scores.

It's looking mighty fine.

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