Diamond Mind Annual Preview

by kirbyk on Mar 31, 2005 9:01 AM PST Comment 10 comments

Every year, Tom Tippett of Diamond Mind does a simulation of the upcoming season - actually, a bunch of simulations. They've proven to be above average in accuracy, compared to other analysts, in previous seasons.

Link is Here.

The good news: The A's are projected to win. And surprisingly, the offense is projected to score 873, fourth in baseball behind the Yankees, Red Sox, and a hair behind the Cardinals. The not-so-good news: The A's win only slightly more often than the Angels, and the Rangers and Mariners take their share of titles too. Overall, the A's won the division 31% of the time, and a 1% wild card. So, it's very close. And the pitching staff was only average. Honestly, there's a lot more unpredictability coming into 2005 than typical for this team. But for the rest of this week, at least, there's plenty of reason to be hopeful.

-- Kirby

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BEEP! BEEP! BEEP!

Come out with your hands up! This is the Diary Police!

"I'm good because I ground out to second a lot!" ~ Darin Erstad

by Zonis on Mar 31, 2005 9:18 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

this is one repeat i don't mind

by kvn on Mar 31, 2005 9:20 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

I'm not sure this counts

I have my diary cache set to 20 and I don't see the repeat you're referring to. And I've been waiting for that diamond mind sim to come out and am glad that someone clued me in.

If anyone is looking for some easy money this is a great way to make futures bets. These predictions have been scary accurate over the several years I've been reading them.

Thanks KirbyK

RFB 4 ever

by Tim J on Mar 31, 2005 9:47 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Not that it matters, but FYI

It's "A's Win the AL West..." currently #15. The Diary Headlines don't always indicate the actual topic.

athleticsnation.com, 164

by ArakSOT on Mar 31, 2005 9:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Aha

I did actually look to see if this had been Diary'd recently, but I don't read _every_ diary (shame!) and the headline that had it was non-descriptive. Hey, has anyone posted yet about a rumor I heard that Byrnes was on the trading block? That's hot news!

by kirbyk on Mar 31, 2005 11:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

More Predicitons

From the staff of Baseball Prospectus:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=3884

As a whole, the staff predcits a Division flag for our guys, but there is a lot of uncertainty regarding the AL west as a whole.

Overall, Chavez ranks third for MVP behind ARod and Vlad the Terrible. Harden ranked third for Cy Young (Santana, Big Unit) - no Zito. Blanton was 3rd (!) for ROY (Jeremy Reed, Dallas McPherson), while Swish checked in at #8 and Street (!) #11.

athleticsnation.com, 164

by ArakSOT on Mar 31, 2005 9:48 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Which is wild...

cuz NYY in 2-9 to win the East and Boston is 4-1

by OaktownPower on Mar 31, 2005 10:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Don't know where else to put this

But from ESPN insider:

Mar. 31 - According to ESPN's Jayson Stark, Oakland GM Billy Beane continues to tell people that, no matter how impressive Huston Street has been this spring, he's not ready to move Octavio Dotel - yet.
"He's just not prepared to do it now, because he's not sure which way his team's going to go," says an official of one team that has talked with the A's. "But even if they're in it on June 15, Billy's the kind of guy who might still move a Dotel if he thinks Street is ready - except, if they're in it, he'll deal him to get a major-league piece he needs."

I found it funny how the official of one team cited his date as June 15th, my birthday.

Kielty, rejuvenated by his new genetically created St.Pats Day/Oktoberfest, shows us why Billy and Ohad are geniuses.

by ohad on Mar 31, 2005 9:49 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

two things here:

one of a practical nature; it might be helpful to be descriptive when posting a new diary so when we all scroll down there isn't a need to access every single one...just a thought ;-).

secondly, i found it interesting to read where BB "is not sure which way his team is going to go"....what !?! does that mean BB hasn't VORPed WIN Shared (and every other GD metric tool floating out there) his team to death and PREDICTED a 85 winning ALW season?

leave it up to BB to offer some balance!

My CPA says-"Damn, you must really hate this time of year". I said-"Don't worry, I just bought a thousand shares of Astropitch."

by bigelephant on Mar 31, 2005 10:25 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

One question...

The article says, kind of sarcastically, "Can you remember the last time the Yankees didn't win the AL East?"

I can sure remember that a lot clear than I can remember a time when the Braves didn't. Yet, no mention of the simulator's picks effectively dethroning the NL champs.

This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains.

by baseballgirl on Mar 31, 2005 12:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs