'05 Predictions
Herewith, my fearless predictions for the '05 season.
AL MVP -- Vladimer Guerrero (again)
AL Cy Young -- Randy Johnson (he got robbed in the NL last year)
AL Rookie-of-the-year -- Huston Street
NL MVP -- Phil Nevin
NL Cy Young -- Oliver Perez
NL Rookie-of-the-year -- Conor Jackson
AL Playoffs: LA, Clev., NY, Bos (WC)
NL Playoffs: SD, Chi., Atl, NY (WC)
AL Champion: NY
NL Champion: Atl
World Champion: Atl
AL West
- Los Angeles
- Seattle
- Oakland
- Texas
AL Central
- Cleveland
- Detroit
- Minnesota
- Chicago
- Kansas City
AL East
- New York
- Boston
- Toronto
- Baltimore
- Tampa Bay
NL West
- San Diego
- Los Angeles
- Arizona
- San Francisco
- Colorado
NL Central
- Chicago
- Houston
- St. Louis
- Milwaukee
- Cincinnati
- Pittsburgh
NL East
- Atlanta
- New York
- Florida
- Philadelphia
- Washington
0 recs |
57 comments
Comments
We have enough for two rotations!
The Duke, Yabu, Ethy, Sarly, and Cruz would each have a spot on most rotations. We have more than enough backups to whip Seattle's ass, and their mule for that matter.
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 12:18 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
The Duke and Cruz certainly would!
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 12:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Duke and Cruz certainly would!
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 12:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Look at his ERA for 100 innings in his rookie year
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 3:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
But, Bambi
Those innings were quite different from starters innings. He wasn't expected to see hitters a second and third time. There's a good reason he isn't even being considered for a starting position with the A's.
by Arizona on Mar 27, 2005 4:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He's the long man
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 5:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So should we point out
Here are a few:
Conor Jackson has spent half a season in AA. THere would have to be injury problems for him to even get called up. (as in both Gonzo AND Green/Cruz Jr) They already have raw but talented center fielder and good hitting utility man Scott Hairston. No need to rush him.
The angels rotation is so good that ever growing Colon and his 5 ERA is the number one. that 3 otu of five pitchers had an ERA of worse than 4.64 last year. And Escobar and Byrd had a 3.93 and 3.94, respectively. Just Great.
Mariners rotation is not good enough. Moyer and Meche had ERA's over five. Pineiro, a good bet to rebound, had a 4.67 (he's a good bet, but you can't discard last year). Ryan Franklin was at 4.9 and their best ERA was part time starter (rookie) Bobby Matdrisch with 3.27 (thats by memory).
I find it hard to believe that Huston STreet will win rookie of the year. If he finishes with a 2 ERA and 20 saves, maybe. But with McPherson, Swisher, Blanton it will be pretyy hard.
Atlanta is so good that their best offensive force from last year was replaced with Raul Mondesi and Brian Jordan. I'm not discarding them don't get me wrong. But that won't win the WS.
Horacio Ramirez is not a number one on half the teams in baseball. Sorry.
How can Houston finish ahead of St.Louis, the defending NL Champs? Clemens will regress, Bags and Biggio will continue their declines, they lost Carlos Beltran, the man that led them to the playoffs. Carlos Hernandez the underachiever won't help.
Why is Greene everything we wished Crosby was? I couldn't disagree more.
Detroit ahead of Minnesota? How? You can't just assume Santana won't be as good. He really is THAT good. Detroit is not good enough yet. Cmon. Their pitching stinks. Bonderman is their only good pitcher (and thats betting that he evolves into the ace he is projected as).
Cleveland does not have the best pitching. It continues to be Minnesota who is solid in the rotation, as well as one of the best bullpens. If Bonderman pulls a Santana, that still doesn't give them the best pitching. Cleveland still has a shaky bullpen, and no real Ace.
I like your pick of Phil Nevin as MVP though.
by ohad on Mar 27, 2005 12:38 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Pretty Good
Let's imagine that Bonds is out for the season:
Giants lose Bonds and gain Benitez, Alou and Matheny. That's got to come close to break even. The DBacks lose Randy Johnson, the second best pitcher in baseball to Santana, and gain Glaus and some one else and you expect them to improve 40 games. Not so
by H3liCat on Mar 27, 2005 12:52 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
jrbh,
by jmoney on Mar 27, 2005 1:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
umm... no
by K56 on Mar 27, 2005 1:43 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
The A's are gonna win the WS
by kvn on Mar 27, 2005 2:07 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
well
I don't see the Braves doing much, actually (wild acrd at best); big drop off in offense, yes Hudson will have a huge year, though (I see him as NL Cy Young winner).
NY/BOS a trade-off-- Texas does better than Seattle. In terms of the A's; I'm too emotionally invested,it's hard to see clearly (starting p[itching will determine everything in OAK).
SF collapses, true. Angels also collapse (although maybe not until the playoffs).
Cards clobber the Cubs in the NL Central (Carpenter, Marquis, Mulder and Morris is not too shabby of a rotation, plus the Cubs have a disastrous bullpen and the Cards still the NLs best offense).
I see FLA winning the East, and either FLA or STL taking the AL East winner this year in the WS.
by eck767 on Mar 27, 2005 2:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Good thing you didn't want to...
by jrbh on Mar 27, 2005 2:39 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nice "double crown," jrbh:
I'm going with Toronto to win the World Series (after all, they're leading in Spring Training), with Bocachica as AL MVP and Dan Johnson as both AL Rookie of the Year and AL Cy Young. And anyone who disagrees with me is a terrorist.
by Nico on Mar 27, 2005 4:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Bang Bang!
by Bambi on Mar 27, 2005 4:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wheres Ted Lilly?
by ohad on Mar 27, 2005 10:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brilliant
I don't know why more commentators haven't noticed that Toronto has proven it's the best team in the league.
And finally, Hiram will get the respect he hasn't had since BA listed him ahead of Eric Chavez on its prospect list.
by Arizona on Mar 27, 2005 4:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Are you talking to me?
by eck767 on Mar 27, 2005 4:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ratto
by Reg on Mar 27, 2005 8:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey
by GreenNGoldGirl on Mar 27, 2005 8:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
jmoney...
If the A's finish ahead of Seattle, I'll mail $20 to the charity of your choice.
by jrbh on Mar 27, 2005 2:39 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
It's a deal
by jmoney on Mar 27, 2005 3:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Horacio Ramirez?
Horacio's was around 85-87% last year, which was the primary cause of his ridiculously low ERA. This is not something that's repeatable, it's just a matter of luck and circumstances. Watch Horacio's ERA balloon to 4.00+ this year. The statement that he would be a #1 on most teams is so false, it does even warrant discussion.
by Uncle Charlie on Mar 27, 2005 4:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Since making the playoffs is a marathon,
CAN do better than the "on paper" favorites.
Since the A's are deeper in all areas this year.
Since the A's are underdogs to do it all.
Gotta go underdogs,
Gotta go A's!
A's all the way!
Oh yeah! BB managing for the 3rd richest owners in MLB doesn't hurt either.
ANers take note:
The rosters that open the season are rarely the rosters that finish it. I expect A's to benefit from some expert "tweaking" by mid season if not sooner. A couple tweaks and this roster does it all.
by A s Eh on Mar 27, 2005 4:43 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Being Rich
Being rich isn't the same thing as your business having a great revenue stream.
The A's budget will remain where it is because Wolff won't agree to lose money and more than Schott would. The A's will continue to be profitable,and will continue to field a competitive team with a low budget.
by Arizona on Mar 27, 2005 4:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A's start the season with $49 million from
How much more money were you thinking?
by A s Eh on Mar 27, 2005 6:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A's
by OaktownTribesman on Mar 28, 2005 6:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
$49 million IS a revenue stream,
A's don't lose money.
Amongst all the small market talk you never heard the A's claim to lose money.
Why should they?
Small market and lose money are not the same thing nor are they related.
Brewers under the Selig's declared large profits annually while fielding some of baseball's worst teams. If Selig has an inate dilike of A's it may have a lot to do with "his" profitable ownership style vs the A's competitive "break even" approach.
Major difference!
by A s Eh on Mar 28, 2005 9:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ramirez
by larrysgurl on Mar 27, 2005 4:48 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Herewith, my fearless predictions for '05
- A's MVP Chavvy
- A's best record by starter; Haren. As #3 H makes efficient work of opposing pitcher match ups. Blanton handles #4 better than expected.
- A's best ERA by starter; Zito! Has to! He must compete against other teams #1 starters. AL teams hit him for half as many home runs as '04. Major difference!
- A's ROY; Swish. Swish finds his groove and favorite seats and cranks out 17 home runs by all star break. Adds only 8 more bin the 2nd half after opposing pitchers adjust.
- A's All star game; Kotsay, Byrnes, Chavvy, Haren, Zito (Mgr picks from Kendall, Durazo, Dotel & Ellis)
AL Rookie-of-the-year -- Swish
NL Champion: Florida in 7
World Champion: A's in 7
AL West
1. Oakland
2. Los Angeles
3. Texas
4. Seattle
AL Central
1. Cleveland
2. Detroit
3. Minnesota
4. Kansas City
5. Chicago
Cleveland has the best team in the division
AL East
1. Baltimore
2. Boston
3. New York
4. Toronto
5. Tampa Bay
As said above; the league change, DH's, 7-8 games vs division rivals Boston and O's, and more injuries render Big Unit a Big Bust (NYC Media loves his losses more than the wins!). Boston slips because starters no big deal and Foulkes falls mightily. Baseball G*ds smile down on Miggy & the boys (... such a "little guy"!)
NL West
1. San Diego
2. Los Angeles
3. San Francisco
4. Arizona
5. Colorado
Agreed! The Padres are completely under-rated
NL Central
1. Chicago
2. Milwaukee
3. St. Louis
4. Houston
5. Cincinnati
6. Pittsburgh
Milwaukee the 2005 "cinderella team" freed of Selig and feeling good about themselves they catch some breaks and Nat'l attention. You gotta feel good for those loyal Brewer fans! Cubs squeek it out at the end and No Karma Cards fall to #3.
NL East
1. Florida
2. New York
3. Atlanta
4. Philadelphia
5. Washington
Florida is scary. Mets improve. Braves starters can't score runs and save games.
by A s Eh on Mar 27, 2005 5:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
O's are definitely my upset pick (+Brews @ 2nd)
I do think they will hit Yanks and BoSox very well and that the evil empires pitching has a few too many band aids.
Bombs away O's!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Looks like a fun season!
by A s Eh on Mar 27, 2005 9:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Possible final "Big Friday" promotion...
Not only would it get international media attention, but oaktoon would become the second "legendary" ANer. (Blez, of course, being the first).
by FoolshGame22 on Mar 27, 2005 11:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ramirez would be a #1 or potential #1...
by jrbh on Mar 27, 2005 6:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Not #1 on....
by Zonis on Mar 27, 2005 7:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Livian Hernandez
by Larry E on Mar 27, 2005 8:46 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No
by ohad on Mar 27, 2005 10:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wrong
Detroit: I'd take Jeremy Bonderman over Ramirez.
Chicago: I'd take both Buerhle and Garcia over Ramirez.
Arizona: I'd take Javier Vazquez over Ramirez.
Colorado: Horacio's ERA in Denver would be as horraciorable as the rest of the Rockies rotation.
And honestly, the fact that he would be the #1 on some of these teams says nothing. Cincinnati? So you're saying he's better than Jimmy Haynes and Aaron Harang? Whoop-di-friggin-doo!!
by Uncle Charlie on Mar 28, 2005 1:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
inconsistent
And for the Braves' staff, try 2 deep instead of five; Hampton, Horacio, and Thomson are all mediocre. If a stray AJ Burnett fastball were to knock Leo Mazzone unconscious sometime this year, watch Hampton and Thomson revert to their former hitters' park selves (Colo and Texas), while Horacio would regress into AAAA abyss.
Phil Nevin finishes 3rd in MVP voting...on his own team. Peavy edges Giles there...
Oliver Perez wins the Cy, but the Pirates are the worst team in the NL...hmm...Unit gets "robbed" last year because of a horrible team; this year somehow it will be different (it would have to be, according to your misguided projection of the Pirates as the D-Rays (read Royals) of the NL)? The only team in that division that is definitely going to be better than the Devil Rays is St. Louis, whether Mulder is on the mound or shagging flies with Ankiel in Florida somewhere...none of the other teams are guaranteed over .500. Credit Dusty Baker and Drayton McLane for that.
And the White Sox? Depending on what you get from the Cuban Defectors, and on the return to health of Buehrle, and assuming the Garcia family staves off abduction in Caracas, Horacio is battling Garland for the 5 spot in that rotation, with the loser, eh, being "designated for assignment," which on that squad apparently means 10 or so days to learn how to steal bases or speak Spanish. "The first thing they always did was run you"...and test your Ozzie Guillen comprehension. If you fail on either count, you can be had for John Adkins.
Even the Nats trot out Livan every fifth day, (I think actually every single day by the end of the season...it was a trick they played on the city of Montreal to see if they noticed anyone whose jersey didn't say "Richard" on the back), he's definitely better, then a bunch of guys who can/should/will be better, such as Esteban Loaiza (one of the top 15 or so starters in baseball according to a certain opinionated 4-letter AN source), Tony Armas, Okha, Day, etc.
And the last thing I want is Laurence Tribe benefiting from this baseball season, so thanks for extra extra incentive to cheer for the A's
by Cutthemullet on Mar 29, 2005 12:16 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
and let's look up Vladimir...
by Cutthemullet on Mar 29, 2005 12:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Actually laughed out loud...
by FoolshGame22 on Mar 29, 2005 12:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
glad you liked it; Laurence Tribe...
by Cutthemullet on Mar 29, 2005 12:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ahhhh... I scrolled up
by FoolshGame22 on Mar 29, 2005 1:42 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A's ROY
by OaktownTribesman on Mar 28, 2005 6:11 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I mean
by OaktownTribesman on Mar 28, 2005 6:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Blah
by Parklife on Mar 28, 2005 9:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Name Calling
by Parklife on Mar 28, 2005 10:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The post I'm responding to is...
by LowcountryJoe on Mar 28, 2005 1:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Berroa
by A s Eh on Mar 28, 2005 9:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
There's no bitterness...
Greene's offensive numbers are quite a bit better than Crosby's, and that's even before you factor in that Crosby played in a basically neutral park and Greene played in a truly spectacular pitcher's park.
I didn't see Greene enough defensively to talk seriously about his vs. Crosby, but my impression of Crosby was that last year, at least, he was a good but not great major league shortstop with the glove. If Greene is even average -- I think it's fair to say that people in San Diego believe he's at least that -- his stick makes him a more valuable property than Crosby.
by jrbh on Mar 28, 2005 8:51 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
jrbh = devil's advocate
by Colorado Fan on Mar 28, 2005 9:52 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Jrbh = Common Sense
by Parklife on Mar 28, 2005 3:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
jrbh compares players while co fan
by A s Eh on Mar 28, 2005 10:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
We'll have to agree to...
I think I like Ramirez over Escobar, too, but in trems of what they've done so far, you're right, Escobar would be the Opening Day starter.
by jrbh on Mar 28, 2005 6:19 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
My prediction
by LowcountryJoe on Mar 29, 2005 6:30 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
No bet....
Hey, cutthemullet, your arguments have a certain Bixby-ish stink to 'em. I wonder if you're another pseudonymous stalker.
Laurence Tribe, a professor at Harvard and one of the more distinguished members of the bar in the US, isn't part of the executive structure of the ACLU, and of course, even if he was, the ACLU is a non-profit.
In the NL MVP voting last year, Loretta and Nevin were the only Padres to get votes; pitchers like Peavy (166 innings last year; never over 200) rarely attract MVP support. While Giles is a good player and conceivably could end up playing a key role on a good team, this spring he's 15th on the Padres in RBI, so he has a ways to go before we start talking about him as anyone's MVP.
I'll stand by the notion that the Big Unit was robbed of a Cy Young last year; putting his stats next to Clemens, there's just no comparison. Shoot, I might have voted for Clemens fourth, behind Oliver Perez and Jason Schmidt, too. Saying that because Johnson got robbed, Perez will be, too, well, if you want to invest in the voters being idiots, you're welcome to it. You'd even be right some of the time.
What I actually said about Ramirez, to paraphrase, is that he could be a #1 starter on a whole bunch of teams, and he's currently penciled in as Atlanta's #5, and that that's a real sign of how strong Atlanta's pitching is. I haven't seen a single word to make me change my mind about that.
by jrbh on Mar 29, 2005 10:23 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Hey Chump Change
by Reg on Mar 29, 2005 8:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

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