05 Projected Lineup and predicted stats.

by robber23 on Feb 28, 2005 12:49 AM PST

I recently bought a copy of 2005 Major League Baseball Yearbook and Fantasy Guide at a local establishment and thought it would be interesting to post the predicted stats for (just about) every player on the A's for next season.
Here they are:

Jason Kendall (.305, 5Hr, 48Rbi, 74 runs, 163 hits.)#4 ranked catcher
Mark Kotsay (.295, 14Hr, 55Rbi, 75 runs, 168 hits.) #56 ranked outfielder
Eric Chavez (.283, 31Hr, 93Rbi, 92 runs, 153, Hits) #11 ranked Third Baseman
Erubial Durazo (.293, 24Hr, 86Rbi, 87 runs, 154 Hits) #2 ranked DH
Bobby Crosby (.265, 22Hr, 75Rbi, 81 runs, 147 Hits) #16 ranked shortstop
Nick Swisher (.253, 23Hr, 87Rbi, 90 runs, 133 Hits)
Eric Byrnes (.280, 17Hr, 63Rbi, 80 runs, 137 Hits)
Charles Thomas (.292, 4Hr, 26Rbi, 27 runs, 54 Hits)
Keith Ginter (.263, 17Hr, 50Rbi, 45 runs, 92 Hits)
Scott Hatteberg (12Hr, 62Rbi, 66 runs, 131 Hits)
Bobby Kielty (7Hr, 34Rbi, 35 runs, 54 Hits)

Pitchers.

Rich Harden (3.65 15-8) Ranked #16 (Hudson #12)
Barry Zito (3.85 16-10) Ranked #24
Dan Haren (4.01, 12-10, 29GS) Ranked #43 (Mulder #44)
Joe Blanton (4.28, 11-9, 26GS)
Dan Meyer (4.02, 9-6)
Octavio Dotel ( 3.07, 6-4, 43-49SVs) Ranked #5 Reliever
Kiko Calero (2.91)
Juan Cruz (3.09)
Justin Duchscherer (3.49 85 Inn)
Chad Bradford (3.34)
Huston Street (3.42, 4-0, 2 SVs, 50 Ips)

Ok, well thats about all I can find. Remember these are just predictions from a fantasy baseball guide and are supposed to be based on the strength of the team as much as the strength of the hitter.

What do ya think?

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Comments

fantasy position rankings

Are you sure you didn't swap Kendall and Chavez's rankings?
Haren 43, Mulder 44, these guys have a sense of humor

"Burger King is my kind of place. But not with all those fatty foods. But I eat only one thing: It is a Veggie Whopper"--Wesley Willis

by Cutthemullet on Feb 28, 2005 12:57 AM PST reply actions

3B

Rodriguez
Rolen
Beltre
...Chavez...

don't tell me...
pre-11. Blalock
pre-11. Mora
pre-11. uh, Lowell?
pre-11. definitely uh, uh, David Wright?
pre-11. 3 more ahead of Chavez? Chipper at 3B? Let's just say yeah...
pre-11. GLAUS?
pre-11. last one...this is absurd...Aubrey Huff w/ 3B eligibility?
Heh, that was actually 11 "pre-11", so at least I can take solace in knowing that one of those inferior players isn't ahead of Chavez...still

"Burger King is my kind of place. But not with all those fatty foods. But I eat only one thing: It is a Veggie Whopper"--Wesley Willis

by Cutthemullet on Feb 28, 2005 1:07 AM PST up reply actions

Chavez #11

These are fantasy rankings. The usual fantasy stats are Runs, HR, RBI, BA and Stolen Bases. Chavvy doesn't steal a ton of bases and doesn't hit for a massively high average. Defense, walks and slugging percentage, for the most part, don't factor into the discussion.

by Nate on Feb 28, 2005 10:42 AM PST up reply actions

but

I'll take those numbers from the pitching staff anyday

"Burger King is my kind of place. But not with all those fatty foods. But I eat only one thing: It is a Veggie Whopper"--Wesley Willis

by Cutthemullet on Feb 28, 2005 1:09 AM PST reply actions

yeah

the SP era is like 3.90 or so? not bad...

by xbhaskarx on Feb 28, 2005 6:02 AM PST up reply actions

Chavez

Ya, they have Aubrey Huff, David Wright, and Mike Lowell in front of Chavez--right after him, Dallas Mcpherson.

by robber23 on Feb 28, 2005 1:10 AM PST reply actions

no way

even just for the standard 5x5 categories...funny to think that in a 10-team league Chavez would be a backup. So if they're severely underrating Chavez based on those categories, then in fairness I think Kendall should be lower than #4, at least after Posada and Piazza, probably after Varitek and Estrada too. In real life I'd take Kendall over any of those guys, but for fantasy, no...

"Burger King is my kind of place. But not with all those fatty foods. But I eat only one thing: It is a Veggie Whopper"--Wesley Willis

by Cutthemullet on Feb 28, 2005 1:14 AM PST up reply actions

lineup

Where is Mark Ellis? The 2005 golf glove winner at 2nd base is going to be the A's 2005 starter. Believe it!

by racodd on Feb 28, 2005 6:00 AM PST reply actions

Ginter

Is the man! He's on 5 of my fantasy teams. I got to see him play for two years with the Brewers, and he's an excellent hitter. I was sad to see him leave MIL, but at least he went to my AL team, and the Crew got a decent return with Lehr and Cruz and they have Weeks in AAA this year, and in the bigs by August probably.

by brewersandathletics on Feb 28, 2005 5:55 PM PST up reply actions

HR

I think both Chavez and Druazo will hit more HRs. Durazo was originally acquired in large part because he showed he could hit a lot of HRs. Chavez almost hit 31 HRs last year despite missing a a month and a half of the season.

"The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." -Catfish Hunter

by kaweahkaweah on Feb 28, 2005 6:28 AM PST reply actions

projections

The kinds of models used to develop these projections tend to flatten guys out - that means they'll be pretty close on most, but they won't pick up the big breakouts or the collapses (due to injury, for instance). If Kendall and Kotsay stay healthy and hit near .300, they'll both have upper-.300's OBPs. As a result, Chavez with drive in a lot more than 93 runs.

I do like these projections for the rotation and pen - better than some others I've seen. If these were to pan out, you're looking at a real contender.

by boilerdan on Feb 28, 2005 6:34 AM PST reply actions