This is all premised on Beane receiving an attractive package in return, presumably one or two major league ready players who are cheap.
One could be a 5th starter or long man; the other could play a position somewhere, preferably the OF, or in turn serve as bait in another deal.
- Kotsay's value to this team is fairly marginal given his pay scale. I will not deny his exceptional defense, but would also note that Jay Payton is a far cry from TLong and other substandard defensive options the A's trotted out there pre-Kotsay. Kotsay's offense is very marginal-- he doesn't really fit at the top of the lineup due to a low OBP; with Crosby, DJ, Ethier, Chavez and Barton all here or due within the next 16 months, he doesn't really fit in the 4-6 spots either. He's basically a #7 or #8 hitter making big coin;
- This trade would at least allow the A's to approach Barry Zito with a long-term deal;
- Or... if we get another Haren-Blanton like starter in this deal, we can lose Zito after this season knowing the rotation is pretty solid and not worry too much about only draft choices coming in return. In other words, keep Zito for 2006 and make a big playoff run.
- I can only conclude that a big reason BB is listening to these offers is that his scouts have given him a pretty big thumbs up on Ethier and he believes Ethier, Susan Slusser's views to the contrary, can make the team out of ST and get significant at bats as part of a 4 headed OF monster with Kotsay gone. And we wouldn't be getting more left-handed dominant, but simply moving a right handed bat (payton) into the lineup more and then having Ethier split time with two switch hitters in Kielty and Swisher.
- One more year struggling with the back and Kotsay will have little trade value and not as much for the A's either. The fact that he is signed increases his trade value.