Billy and Hudson Talk
An update on Hudson:
It sounds to me like Billy didn't do anything to squash the trade rumors.
And Hudson seems like he's prepping to say his final goodbye to Oakland.
In Billy I Trust...
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Billy knows baseball cards are the ones to keep
I love Hudson and all but Beane has to do what's best for the team. He already has one bonafide RH Harden, and maybe a #4 in Blanton. Trade Hudson and bring in some pop please.
by suggy on Dec 7, 2004 8:12 AM PST reply actions
finesse
B James has always said that strikeout rate is the best predicter of future success for a pitcher and Hudson's has been declining ever since he came into the league. GB/FB ratio is also important, and Huddy has that in spades, but sometimes you need to miss bats and the fact that he can't do that as well as he used to is troubling.
All those points are valid
by nothinlikethetown on Dec 7, 2004 11:54 AM PST up reply actions
Missed the past two seasons?
I'm not saying that his health history is perfectly clean, but it's a helluva lot better than a lot of other pitchers in this league.
by davebenfremont on Dec 7, 2004 1:11 PM PST up reply actions
Agree
Kielty
Hudson was very gracious in his comments.......
I wonder just how much of this is due to Paul Cohen(Huddy's agent) showing his bravado to the press and prospective clients. Surely he must know that Hudson gets more money if he leaves Oakland, so why be an ass about it?
We live in a world where too many negotiations are played out in the media; both in sports and entertainment. The so called "court of public opinion" is still alive and well.
by Rob @ Athletics Nation on Dec 7, 2004 8:34 AM PST reply actions
I love huddy
by mikedaviswhereareyou on Dec 7, 2004 8:37 AM PST reply actions
I can't take this!
And the weirdest part of the article was Tim going on a hunting trip with Frankie Frank Menechino. Menechino with a gun? HA! I hope he handles a gun better than he does a bat.
Hmmm...
Cleveland and St. Louis
Sure
by nothinlikethetown on Dec 7, 2004 8:53 AM PST up reply actions
I saw that, too
And I'd still take Vic Martinez over Kendall any day of the week. I suppose it's not entirely inconceivable that Beane could land Martinez and flip Kendall.
Nooooooooo!
It sounds like he was backtracking a little now that he sees his agent's deadline hasn't forced the A's to the table, but instead has increased the trade talk:
"By no means was I trying to pressure them into that,'' he said. "I just wanted to let them know there's a big window to get something done.''
It's not a deadline anymore but a "big window". Uuhhhh.... whoops, eh Tim?
So, this means that if Hudson is gone, we still have a Big Three with two of the best lefties in the game leading off the rotation, and a spitfire young rightie throwing heat in the number three spot. As usual (with the exception of last year), our number four and five starters are question marks at best, but we have enough talent in the minors that I don't think it will be that big a problem. PLUS, with the offense we could get for Hudson, the A's could be a much better team if Beane were to trade him away.
I hate to see him go, but it certainly isn't a foolish move for Oakland.
by juan on Dec 7, 2004 8:59 AM PST reply actions
why use the press
That being said, I don't get it; if you're heart is with Oakland, why take the deadline to the press? Does nobody in the A's front office have a phone that he / his agent could call? I don't get it with these guys; the last thing you want to do is call a press conference, and put into place, a deadline.
A deadline isn't so bad, and I can understand the reasons / necessity of it, but not via the press. period. never. Not if you're truly wanting to stay with your current team. STUPID.
If We're Dealing Hudson...
Hudson is SO valuable, we should be able to get EXACTLY what we want and give up players we don't want in this trade -- here's what I'd come with.
A's deal: Hudson, Hatteberg, Scutaro (?), prospect
O's deal: Mora, Bedard, BJ Ryan, Brian Roberts
A's end up with --
LINEUP:
CF Kotsay
C Kendall
3B Chavez
LF Mora
DH Durazo
RF Byrnes
1B Johnson
SS Crosby
2B Roberts
Bench: Melhuse, Ellis, Swisher, Kielty, ???
ROTATION: Mulder, Harden, Zito, Blanton, Bedard
PEN: Dotel, Bradford, Duke, Street, Ryan, Rincon
Obviously, our rotation is more vulnerable; but, adding BY Ryan to our pen essentially allows Rincon to do what he's good at (get one left-handed bat out). Ryan and Bradford pave the way for Dotel. And, our lineup is better with the additions of Mora and Roberts. From spots 1-6 that is a pretty darn good lineup, and Roberts sets the table from the 9-hole on the way back around.
Again, this is pretty much the only way I do this trade. We don't have to deal Hudson; and I'd rather play out the year and take our chances on the playoffs (and losing Hudson after this season) than make our team weaker before this season by dealing him for prospects or some scrub like Dan Haren.
No way in hell
by nothinlikethetown on Dec 7, 2004 9:49 AM PST up reply actions
I like your trade
Iffy on Mora
That one sounds horrible to me ...
I sort doubt Arizona would go for it (come to think of it, neither would Huddy, as it would surely require his agreement on an extension), but maybe something like it with another club?
How about for Scott Kazmir and Carl Crawford?
Dave Bush and Vernon Wells?
To the Giants for Robb Nen and Pedro Feliz, put Feliz in RF and the Giants pay Nen's whole salary?
... Oops
Fallback
not a bad idea
- i believe mora made around 2.5 ml last yr. what is comin' to him next yr.?
- i'm not sold on bedard. he was 6-10 last yr. then was shut down after throwing i think 130 in. in the mlb.
- is baltimore willing to give up ryan?
trading hudson is now tied to the budget. if beane can get something servicable then great but i think he is looking for mlb ready prospects.
phils howard for an example.
In defense of Bedard
this is true
Mora no, 2B yes
by jumperjh on Dec 7, 2004 10:36 AM PST up reply actions
Mora will be 33 Years Old by Spring Training
Mora
I think just about any team would want him.
I'll give you 2 years
Mora
His versatility alone would improve our bench, give us another top of the order hitter and the bottom line is that he is signed for 2 years (at a great price) and I don't think that his age would have anything to do with the fall off in the next 2 years. He seems to be a hard worker and it is not like other guys have not become better or good hitters after the reached 30 look at Ozzie or Vizquel.
Nothinlikethetown
My point was that I would not trade Hudson unless I believed that it was going to make our team significantly better. We DO NOT have to trade Hudson. I'm perfectly willing to play out the season with our rotation intact and the offense we have right now, see if we can advance to the playoffs and let Hudson walk at the end of the year if that's what he wants. We have pitchers in our system and we can re-stock with the draft picks we'd get from Hudson.
So, if some team wants Hudson (and the right to try to negotiate a long-term deal with him THIS YEAR, before he becomes a free agent), then they are going to have to give up an arm and a leg to get him. You guys are proposing deals that are reasonable talent swaps. Fock that noise!!! -- if we are dealing one of the best starters in the game and giving a team the opportunity to negotiate a contract with Timothy Adam Hudson, they are going to have to give us everything we want. Otherwise, we'll play out the season and everyone can bid on Hudson when he becomes a free-agent.
We can't be allow our fear of losing Hudson to push us into a deal that's bad for this team. Again, the team we have right now can compete for a playoff spot; why screw with that unless this team is going to get better.
I'd do something for Vernon Wells, but I don't think the Jays would. First of all, Wells is locked up through 2007 and only making about $4M a year. Second of all, Hudson is unlikely to re-sign in Toronto, meaning he'd be a one-year rental. Riccardi's not going to give up his best young hitting OF for a one-year rental of Tim Hudson; especially not when he's losing Delgado in the same offseason.
i guess i disagree with most
Of course there are ties to the budget ...
unless
anyway, the only people who know are beane and his staff.
I agree...
I've already said this elsewhere, but I disagree with you Bigelephant that we have to trade Huddy just 'cuz we picked up Kendall. That would be stupid, and Beane isn't stupid.
by LD on Dec 7, 2004 10:50 AM PST up reply actions
we can agree to disagree...
i also think he isn't afraid to gamble either. he's playing poker with about 60 mil chips. any way you look at it kendall takes up 10.5 mil of those poker chips...to big of a chunk for my liking.
O's
Bedard was shut down last year because he was coming off Tommy John surgery in 2003. The fact that he pitched 133 IP last year is pretty phenominal given that he had surgery in July 2003. The O's shut him down early to preserve his arm. Good for us if he's on our team next year.
The O's probably don't want to give up Ryan, which is exactly why we DEMAND Ryan. If they want Hudson, we get Ryan. Otherwise, the O's can stick with their horse manure rotation of Rodrigo Lopez, Sidney "The Hamburglar" Ponson, and three scrubs.
AGAIN, we are in the position of power -- we don't have to give up Hudson, so we tell the Orioles that if they want to really improve their rotation (and I'm not talking about adding some half-assed wannabe "ace" like Carl Pavano or Jaret Wright, I'm talking about adding the pitcher with the best winning percentage of any active pitcher other the Pedro), then they are going to have to part with the guys we want.
That's SIR Ponson!
by jumperjh on Dec 7, 2004 10:37 AM PST up reply actions
Sir Ponson
by OaktownTribesman on Dec 7, 2004 10:47 AM PST up reply actions
Hmmm... Hudson in Baltimore
by AlamedaAphid on Dec 7, 2004 11:14 AM PST up reply actions
Huddy and Miggy in Baltimore...
well you're talking to bal
To Hell with Howard
you're right
That's right
Maybe he can teach Hudson how to fold a napkin and Hudson can teach Ponson how to pitch something besides an 88-mph straightball.
Think like Billy
by kkdaz on Dec 7, 2004 10:51 AM PST reply actions
Yeah
Still, even in a 3- or 4-team deal, the only way Beane does this is if we come out of it with upgrades at 2-3 positions. We need to get 2-3 of the following if we are going to deal Hudson:
(1) a dominant left-handed reliever;
(2) a good 2B;
(3) a right-handed power bat in the OF; and/or,
(4) a decent #3-4 starter.
Unless we get 2-3 of those chips back, we SHOULD not (and WILL not) deal Hudson. Why would we? Beane has always taken a "win now" approach while building for the future. He will not sacrifice this season for fear of losing Hudson at the end of the season.
Beane will not deal Huddy
A good 2b?
Ellis
Priorities (if we lose Hudson):
- Back-end starter
- Bullpen strength / depth
- Bench speed
- Power bat in OF
- 2B
by Uncle Charlie on Dec 7, 2004 3:21 PM PST up reply actions
Hmmm
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=3658
A quote:
"Swapping one of the Big Three for a healthy Giles could net the AÂ's about 35-40 runs at second base, an offensive gain of two to three wins over Ellis."
the article also says
Clev, Balt etc.
I just have a hard time believing that they could sign Hudson long term. I think Hudson has had a taste of October and that playing for a contending team will be a priority. Balt. with Boston and Ny in their division would have to improve a ton to ever be an odds on favorite to be in the playoffs. Right now they have money to spend but really have not shown the ability to spend it wisely.
Agree
by sommers on Dec 7, 2004 7:30 PM PST reply actions
Cy Young
A's don't sign Huddy by deadline, and he goes out and wins the Cy Young in '05. If anybody in baseball could do it, he could.
If the A's are really looking at the next 2 years as seasons where they will make a serious run at the title, it may just be that Beane is planning to get the best out of Huddy for the first of those 2 seasons. I'd hate to see him go, I was at his 1st game in the majors and we share the same birthday, but if it meant I'd get to see him win the Cy Young on the way to a WS Title in Oakland, I would be allright if he left.
However, if he had another injury and no run-support in his final year in Green and Gold, the taste and smell of "unfinished businnes" may grow strong enough to kill me.
Huddy
The A's will not trade Hudson to save money but to improve the team and save money.
Hudson will make six million $ this coming year.
The following year is in question. After Blanton, the next best starter the A's have in the pipeline is probably Windsor since Sullivan did not have it last year. If Hudson gets traded this year, they need another quality starter. A young offensive player won't make up for Huddy.
Save Huddy until the trade deadline or even sign him to a contract. You can still move him at the trade deadline if the A's our out of it, signed or not. If signed and they still can't afford him, trade him next winter or trade one of the other big three.
by jarforcefatherofforce on Dec 7, 2004 9:32 PM PST reply actions
if the a's are contending at the deadline
makes no sense if the a's seriously want to get to and win in the postseason.
Stop Dreaming
by rsquared on Dec 8, 2004 5:55 AM PST reply actions
I think most posters ARE aware of $$
If we believe Beane when he says that the A's plan to get to and through the postseason in 2005, then they must field the strongest team possible. Fielding 4 strong starters is more cost effective than weakening their rotation by trading away their #1 starter. Even if they get a big bat for Huddy that by itself would not be enough to contend with the big boppers, since they definitely don't have the $$ to buy enough firepower. Plus, doing so would weaken them in the one area where they DO have an edge: starting pitching.
Unless Beane can get a proven successful starter PLUS a big bat that also addresses a fielding concern, I don't see him trading away Huddy, but can see him letting our #1 ace play out his contract...that is, unless he's not serious about contending for 2005.
Trade Zito
Trade Zito this offseason to save some money. Don't trade Huddy.
By the way, how does Radke and Wright's deals affect Huddy and the A's? Radke just signed a 2-Year/18 Million deal to come back to Minnesota. Looks like Wright will be signing a 3-Year/20-21 Million Deal with Yankees...Wright and Huddy had pretty similar years last year, and they are both 28/29 years of age...
A 4-Year/40-44 Million might work with Huddy.

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