Mulder Gone Too
Is Zito next?
Today, AN took a punch in the gut. Peter Gammons said for a while that the A's would likely be rebuilding in 2005 with an eye toward being potent in 2006.
That has now come to pass. The A's are officially dumping players.
And while the dismemberment of the Big Three is two-thirds complete, I have faith in Billy Beane.
Realize that the A's winning curve has gone this way over the past six seasons.
1999 - 87 wins
2000 - 91 wins
2001 - 102 wins
2002 - 103 wins
2003 - 96 wins
2004 - 91 wins
Beane could see the writing on the wall. That's a bell curve right there. And it was with the Big Three in the fold.
It's a sad day for an A's fan because the immediate future seems bleak. But remember, Billy could see the writing on the wall...bell curves don't lie.
I still can't believe we've seen our last games pitched by both Hudson and Mulder in green and gold.
Turns out that Mychael Urban's book ACES will be the Big Three's epitaph.
If ever we needed AN to be a support group, it is now.
0 recs |
231 comments
Comments
Zito
by JSCHWAN on Dec 18, 2004 5:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Buster Olney says "could be"...
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=1944838
by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 9:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
beane stated
by bigelephant on Dec 19, 2004 9:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I can't wait....
by Force on Dec 18, 2004 11:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Good
i support and applaud those trades because it makes sense. only doing hudson, not making sense. but mulder too, makes good sense.
trades have a sense of direction, bottom line. cheaper and younger, with more hard throwers
by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:37 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
That is a brave position to take....
by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wait for it
Emotionally it sucks, but business wise it makes sense. I also wonder if the organization has any "inside" info re: Hudson's annual hip injury and Mulder's dramatic drop-off last season?
by WannaBeGM on Dec 18, 2004 7:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You got that right
by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 7:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Right here with you Blez
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 5:37 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
just got back from the store
by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 5:38 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Thank God I don't drink
by AsGirl on Dec 18, 2004 6:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
With all due respect
I must have missed the news earlier this month: When did John York buy the A's and replace Billy Beane with Terry Donahue?
by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
you don't like tinkering after a 5 yr run?
face it, if you are an Oakland A's fans, you welcome these moves. the 5 yr big three was starting to slow down. Time to move on. Don't like discontinuity? Then time travel back to pre-Curt Flood era or trade in your A's hat for those 4 teams.
by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This is not "tinkering"
None of the players acquired for Mulder and Hudson will ever be an all-star. Just like the players acquired from the Cardinals for Mark McSteroid.
by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 6:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Not our 2 best players
None of the players acquired for Mulder and Hudson will ever be an all-star.
First, you obviously don't know that. I understand if you're upset, but it's literally impossible for you to be able to support that assertion. No one knows how good any of these guys, especially Meyer or Barton, will be. Did anyone think Hudson would have one of the best career W-L records ever before May of '99? Don't you remember how Mulder looked like a complete bust after his lousy rookie season?
Second, there's no certainty with Mulder and Hudson, either. They could both put together Hall of Fame careers after little blips in 2004, or they could be Doug Drabek and Steve Avery.
by Nick on Dec 18, 2004 6:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well Hell
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
well beane did say...
fuck, duck the next time he says that!
by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 6:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yankees vs. A's
by china bob on Dec 18, 2004 11:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Bloody Bravo
This graph is the 2003 MLB team payrolls. The Yankees have the biggest payroll at $163,685,383 million. Followed by the Yankees are LA, NYM, BOS, and TEX. Your Oakland A's are 25th with a $50,360,930 million team payroll. TB is last with a team payroll just over $20 million.
A's payroll vs. Yankees payroll 1999-2003
OAK NYY
1999 $24,562,560 $92,440,970
2000 $30,363,620 $95,353,852
2001 $39,583,165 $114,005,830
2002 $39,856,534 $131,066,207
2003 $51,397,515 $167,150,480
A's vs. Yankees wins per year 1999-2003
OAK NYY
1999 87 98
2000 91 87
2001 102 95
2002 103 103
2003 96 101
This next graph is total number of wins for all the clubs from 1999-2003. The team with the most wins are the braves with 484. The Yankees are 2nd and the A's 3rd with 479. The Tigers and D-Rays are the teams with the last number of wins.
This next graph is the average cost per win per team from 1999-2003. Your A's pay $387,815 per win, the best of all 30 clubs. The Yankees pay the most with $1,239,685 per win.
(I plucked it from a search on MLB team salaries. It's fragmented because I've left out some of the article - didn't save the source)
Add to this the fact that, though the A's won 12 fewer games last season than the Yankees, they spent almost $130 MILLION LESS.
Totals for the years 1999 through 2003:
Oakland - $185,763,394 (roughly the equivalent to New York's payroll for 2004)
New York - $600,017,339
It's incredible to me that this fails to register with the majority of bloggers/commentators. The differential is OBSCENE - Beane's wizardry, SUBLIME.
Much more exciting than watching Brian Cashman spend Steinbrenner's money.
by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 2:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm torn...
by Jennifer on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm sick
by Sharon on Dec 18, 2004 5:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm excited!
I'm going to get Mulder a package together that has all the best things of Missouri. You know, directions to the world's largest pecan, a bunch of barbeque, and a Speedo so he will fit in at Party Cove.
by Jennifer on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I love what Billy got in return
It's just that I just found out. And I feel numb.
by Sharon on Dec 18, 2004 5:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice Job Blez
He saw that the Oakland Athletics are not going to be able to beat the Yankees, Red Sox and Angels in 2005, so he re-tooled for 2007.
Will it work? We'll see. I'm hopeful.
My guess is that Zito stays around and remains the link between the '01-'04 A's and the '07-'11 A's.
Let's all hope they are at least as successful.
by Eck on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
2005 down the tubes
by MoragaMike on Dec 18, 2004 9:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Does anyone
That would be a nice outfield with Beltran, Kotsay and Swisher.
by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 5:41 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
No
by jumperjh on Dec 18, 2004 8:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What channel are you watching?
by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:17 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i'm more in the mood for rum.....
by bakedzito on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nail
by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nail
by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks,
by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 9:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A New Era
anyways. Better to get something rather than wait and get nothing.
It was a good run, but BB has made the decision (correctly) that it is time to remake this team.
Last year's failure to make the playoffs was probably the determining factor.
Mulder's swan dive last season concerned me and made me think that this guy's best days are behind him. Why wait to see if he continues to breakdown and watch his value fall further?
I am very excited about the 2005 season and beyond for this franchise. BB is doing the best with the resources he has and we should all thank our lucky stars that he is the GM.
Go A's!!
by RudiFan on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I couldn't agree w/ you more
Lets face it, we had them for 3+yrs and wasn't able to get it done, now it's time to start anew and see if we can develop some more aces and make another run at it.
Personally, I think we got better value in the Mulder trade than the deal for Hudson.
by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 9:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
looking forward!
by babylabash on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
hell yeah
back to those 1999 days when the next mulder, hudson, tejada, giambi start making their marks. It was fun back then too, no expectations
by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's good to hear some optimism
I'm excited and looking fwd to the new look A's. I'll be there again cheering them on...
Go A's!
by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 8:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
No matter what, it'll be an interesting year.
by Jeff in Seattle on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Before everybody gets too worked up...
Does anyone remember the 2000 season, the season that started the A's current magnificent run? Remember the pitching staff that year? According to Baseball Prospectus, Hudson led the Oakland pitching staff with the highest VORP with 49.6. Who was second? Gil Heradia with 40.9. Third? An unknown rookie then named Zito with 38.5. Fourth? Kevin Appier with 35.5.
Losing Hudson and Mulder will hurt--no doubt about it. But we've gained Meyer and Haren--two very well-regarded prospects that could form the basis of Oakland's rotation for years to come. Remember that baseball is a team sport: As long as Beane can cobble together a strong supporting cast, Oakland will remain competitive.
LET'S GO OAKLAND!!!
by macktheknife on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Let's go Oakland
LETS GO OAKLAND
by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i trust
by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 5:51 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
mixed feelings
however, i think that Billy is doing all he can to build a foundation for another great team era. the facts are out there. the team can't compete financially with the yanks, sox or angels. we have yet to win a pennent with the former rotation. so it's Billy's turn to get creative....get younger and cheaper talent, which will hopefully translate into a new era of A's baseball.
by high street on Dec 18, 2004 5:52 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
The bell curve
by jmoney on Dec 18, 2004 5:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
by Jeff in Seattle on Dec 18, 2004 5:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Didn't expect that
one of of the Big Three, but not two. And at this point I would hardly be surprised if Zito got traded as well.
What I can't figure out is: if Bean is in full blown rebuilding mode, why did we trade for a rather expensive catcher? How do these moves fit together? Admittedly getting rid of Rhodes was important, but at the end of the day Kendall will still end up costing a lot of money for the A's.
I'm even less impressed with the booty Beane got this go round. Calero looks decent, but Haren's record is not at all impressive. All they seem to have going for them is that they will be cheap.
by aconley on Dec 18, 2004 5:57 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
that just made my head hurt
by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sign and ttrade
They are against the rules.
by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 6:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
what exactly
by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I sure hope not
But I still need something to wear to games in '05. Just to be different, I went on eBay today and bought a Pirates Kendall shirt. So, dammit, Beane can't trade Kendall.
by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sell them to me!!!!
send me an email if you would like. mremmagoldman@yahoo.com
I just got an A's jersey and thank god I chose Zito.
I also have Tejada....
I almost chose mulder....
by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 6:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No, I'm going to wear them
by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I know how you feel....
by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 7:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of Kendall . . .
by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
An Explanation?
My best guess is that he wanted a veteran guy behind the plate to help the young pitchers along.
We won't win the division next year, and that's okay. Neither did the '99 club, but they might have been the most entertaining team of that entire run.
This season should be similar. It will be positive. It won't be a WS run, but it will be fun to watch.
by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 6:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
who knew?
by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's not what I said
The fact is if we're not a serious playoff contender (not a championship contender, but just for a playoff spot) then we are basically in the same position as the Pirates. Is there a real difference between winning 65 games and 80? Not really.
by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The bullpen had better by dynamic...
80 wins by Labor Day? I'll take that bet (and I'll even hope I lose).
by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah,
by kaweahkaweah on Dec 18, 2004 6:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Worse case scenario
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
My mind, exactly
by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
bell curve
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 5:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Why Zito????
by asfanfordays on Dec 18, 2004 5:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
One word for Zito over Mulder and Hudson.....
by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 6:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Must be health
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
More words for Zito
Smoother, lower-impact delivery.
Smoother, lower-impact psyche. Yes, I'm serious about that last one. I think Zito's got a mentality better suited to a long career than Huddy or Mulder. For all Hudson's "bulldog" rep (and I did and do love him for it), 90% of guys in baseball have that -- they have to to make it to the bigs. Preposterously gifted physical freaks like Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens have given everyone the idea that jarhead "hoo-ah" is what gets a pitcher the wrong side of 40 blowing away stud hitters every fifth day. And I think the second half of '04, with the "I don't know what's going wrong but I'll pitch through it" approach of Mulder demonstrated just how effective that road is.
Yeah, Zito shoots tv shows in the offseason. And he surfs. And he plays the gee-tar and sings and has a good time. He has a life outside of baseball and knows its relative importance in the world. And he's also a demented baseball geek who's been practicing in his backyard and getting private tutoring from ex-big-league pitchers since he was, what, 10? I'll take that any day.
Of course, watch, Barry's gone on Monday ...
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Zito is actually a seriously disciplined pro
by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 8:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
True enough...
Something to consider with Hudson and Mulder's injury problems over the past few years.
by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 9:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
one handed?
by Satchmo22 on Dec 19, 2004 5:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What?
As far as the trades, I'm torn. They bring back too many memories of the McGwire trade; remember people were saying the same thing about those prospects that they are saying about these. Blake Stein was a supposed future all star. I just hope some of these actually turn out.
by IndianaAsfan on Dec 18, 2004 8:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why Zito?
Or at least that's what Beane thinks. The eternal Beane strategy is buy-low, sell-high. Clearly, he thinks big-name starting pitching is overpriced, so he's cashing in on it. Evidently, what he thinks is underpriced is young guys with high upside just coming into the big leagues.
It's not a coincidence that the one of the Big Three we were all talking about trading is the one guy we kept. He didn't have an inflated perceived value to be collected on.
by iglew on Dec 19, 2004 2:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If you're going to trade one of 'em ...
As much as we all hate to say it, the A's have given up for 2005. But we wouldn't win in 2005 anyway.
The smart thing to do is what Billy has done: stockpile a lot of talent that will peak at the same time while still being affordable.
It takes a lot of guts to admit you need to make changes and can take a better shot the next time around. Gotta give Billy Beane some credit
by Eck on Dec 18, 2004 5:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Can't Wait!
by limecat on Dec 18, 2004 6:01 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Beltran, Mulder
The Mulder trade baffles me b/c it flies in the face of the one theory--"retooling for '06"--that seemed to make the most sense.
Now I'm left thinking that given the redundancy of acquiring two hard-throwing relievers Cruz and Calero (with Street and Garcia already in the mix), there is a third trade coming on the heels of this one. Until that trade is made and some dust clears, I'll withhold judgment.
At the moment, though, I'm not seeing how the trades make us more competitive next year OR in 2006, and the way BB's door revolves, 2007's roster is too hard to gauge (who the hell knows if Kotsay, Kendall, Durazo, Zito, even Harden and Crosby, will be there?).
When your favorite players keep leaving (e.g., Tejada, Hudson, Mulder, cross your fingers on Byrnes and Ellis), and you don't look as good for next year or the year after, it's hard to get excited. I will get excited come March, mind you (I always do and always will)--I'm just saying that it's hard.
by Nico on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
A few weeks ago
There's got to be another big move, since we now have plenty of payroll room left. Either that or it's going to get worse with Dotel/Byrnes/Durazo on their way out too.
by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:18 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
PS
by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe it's going to be all about bullpen arms
by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:19 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
ALL THE WAY
very well, i just hope beane goes all the way: time to trade zito.
i'm assuming this means byrnes, bradford, durazo, and hatteberg are gone too. they should be if we're rebuilding for the next year or two. heck, kotsay, too. that guy's stock is never going to be higher. also, no reason to have dotel on the team any longer.
go for it beane.
a's all the way sometime between 06-08.
by xbhaskarx on Dec 18, 2004 6:22 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Hold off on trading Zito until the All-Star break
Bye-bye Dotel.
Ruby probably stays.
Byrnes?
Kotsay... don't think he's going anywhere.
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Must. Trade. Kotsay. Now.
I thought the trade for him a year ago was misguided; and I was 100% wrong about that, and said so. Kotsay was absolutely outstanding this year, and was worth giving up Ramon. I think it'd make sense to hang onto Kotsay -- but he's more valuable in a trade.
As for Dotel ... I dunno. Nick's bullpen-bullpen-bullpen theory (and perhaps his 4-starter theory) make a lot of sense, and Dotel could be an important part of that. I don't know how much Dotel would bring in trade, especially as he's arb-eligible. I don't see Beane non-tendering him, though. I can see signing him, letting him perform, and then moving him in July.
Byrnes is gone, though.
As for Ruby, I'm not sure. As with Kotsay, he may be more valuable to the A's as trade bait than for the contributions he'd make at the plate in '05-07.
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:10 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not shipping anyone off...
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thomas
Not that I want Kotsay gone, but if there was a time to trade him there are numerous teams that would give up a lot for him. Including all the teams that lose out on the Beltran sweepstakes.
And a team that would be very nice to give a CF to because of the pitching prospects they have. Philly would be a sweet trading partner, since they have been looking for a good CF for a few years. With Floyd, Hamels, Madsen, and Myers we could possibly get Myers plus one of the other 3 for him...
by MichiganAsFan on Dec 18, 2004 9:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Must...Stay...Calm
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 9:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Grover
I will take the .800 OPS he had and with the potential GG defense this kid has it could prove out very well for us.
Because I hardly ever get to see A's games being in Michigan I watch the Braves a ton last year. When they brought Thomas up Bobby Cox constantly made remarks about how easy Thomas made the outfield look. He said that when Thomas, Jones and Drew were patrolling the OF, it was the best OF he had ever seen play together. Thomas made Jones life easier in Center. Thomas is young but his OF skills could probably be compared to Kotsays.
by MichiganAsFan on Dec 18, 2004 9:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
tbs
i saw charles thomas a little on tbs last year. . . he looked skinny, i think, real skinny, and from what i saw i cant believe those are his obp and slg. . . at the time i wondered why he was in the lineup at all. . .but "electric" with the glove, super speedy, and a total gamer. didnt seem like he had much power tho. . .i'd say at his best he could be a RH kots (with the bat, but better with the glove)
by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kotsay also played Gold Glove caliber D
by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 12:13 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
wow
my sentiments exactly, mr. byrnes. my sentiments exactly.
i just tuned in, expecting the usual banter and ideas about what's going to happen. i did not, in my wildest dreams, think i would be reading this.
it's going to be either Spring Training or Spring Draining this year. i wasn't ready to contemplate something like that.
wow.
by the way, eric...i think you'll like _____, where you'll be playing next year. doubleshots of espresso on me.
by catfish hunter on Dec 18, 2004 6:23 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
After daring to comment
by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 7:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
question
IBIT
by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 6:28 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
already numb
It'll take a bit for this one to regiester ...
by Bleed Green on Dec 18, 2004 6:29 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I like the Mulder deal
I think this trade will look very good down the line.
And I think Beane is far from finished. I hated losing Hudson but I'm excited by these deals and future possibilities.
As good as the Big 3 were, and they were very good, they really didn't get the job done in the post season.
by Okeydokie on Dec 18, 2004 6:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Salary dumping at its finest!!!
Keeping Zito makes absolutely no sense. Of course with two sub par years (or maybe the one good one was the aberration) he probably has no trade value to anyone but the Mets.
So far the incoming players are a collection of cheap castoffs that have delivered mixed results in the majors. Did I say the A's will contend for third in in the west in 05? What was I thinking?
If there was money back in exchange for any of these guys I would immediately suspect the team to be sold to Las Vegas interests.
by bayfrank on Dec 18, 2004 6:34 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I can't help myself
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Byrnes is a 4th OF
Quite frankly, given Byrnes' personality, I'm not sure that he would have produced as well as he did the last two years if he hadn't been perpetually under the gun and playing for his job every time he went out there. I think putting the figurative screws to Byrnes day in and day out was actually a pretty shrewd piece of personnel management.
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Byrnes is replaceable
Let me put it this way. You can't move Byrnes and not replace him because that mean keeping Kielty for one more year. Who would you rather have as a 4th OF... Thomas or Kielty?
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Or ...
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Might be time to take a break Monk
Go watch some football. Read a book. Eat dinner.
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Not today Oaktoon
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
2 words I'm not keen on right now:
by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 8:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
u
by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I like the Mulder trade
by vk on Dec 18, 2004 6:35 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Too Bad
doesn't list the teams moves like they used to do during every off-season. It was a great way to keep up on the teams' moves.
Anyone have any ideas why they aren't?
by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 6:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Mulder's fine
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Who are you, and what have you done with grover?
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You'll be back.
Guess it didn't work out that way.
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am already
Seriously, the Mulder trade really did shock me. Although I like the deal better than the Hudson deal -- especially b/c Mulder's stock was so low after the second half of '04.
What it comes down to is that I do think Zito was the one guy of the three it made more sense to keep -- but I'm fairly confident that unless there's a major "market correction" with pitchers' contracts by November '06, even Zito won't be staying long-term.
Anyway, I was just joshin' ya, grover.
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sickels
On an interesting note, Blanton was the #4 pitching prospect and Edwin Jackson was #3. Meyer was in the 30's.
by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Trying to figure it out
Does seem like BB is bogarting the market on catching prospects. So are we gonna start new farm teams to have a place for all of em?
And, is k/9 the stat Billy's looking at? Some of the stats on our new pitchers records look average, except for the strikeout #s:
K/9
Calero 04MLB 9.3
Haren 04AAA 10.6
04MLB 6.3 (46 IP)
Meyer 04AA 11.9
04AAA 8.8
Cruz 04MLB 8.8
and (from last year)
Hudson 4.9
Mulder 5.6
Zito 6.9
maybe he that's why he's keeping Zito (assuming he's not the next one to go)
by Hegenberger Road on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
K/9 ratios
by vk on Dec 18, 2004 7:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What???
by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
beane was smart...
hey, where the hell is ohad? i thought he'd be on by now dreaming up more trades.
by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
he's in Barcelona
by high street on Dec 18, 2004 7:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ohad
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
shocked...
by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
re: yes
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 7:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Where's jbrh too?
by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 8:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ohad got traded to Texas, too
[inhale]
[exhale]
Hey, that does feel better! That would explain why my legs were turning blue!
by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 8:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice analysis.
BUT: I am having a hard time trying to understand the logic in giving away an ace when he has 2 years left. Barring injury, if we got one more cheap year out of Mulder, his value on the market would be the same as it is now.
I think BB's plan has merit, I just don't know about losing Mulder's 2 cheap years.
by Josh on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
More...
None of this makes sense...they were too close.
There has to be something more. Something dark and unbelieveable that Billy Beane will unleash upon the masses of people who can't believe what they are witnessing. Something so obscure and perfect you could never have dreamed it.
Please tell me it is so. I refuse to believe that the A's have decided to just throw puppies out there and see how fast they can run. I refuse to believe that the A's have decided to be the poster child for small-market baseball by throwing in the towel on a team that for the last three years many experts had picked to contend for a World Championship. I refuse to believe that the A's have become the camerelengo from Dan Brown's best selling novel "Angels and Demons" by admitting defeat only to prove one's righteous belief to the greater cause.
In this world of synicism and corruption, how is one to maintain their faith? How is one to be content knowing they will never achieve what they covet?
Forgive me my master, for my defenses have been weakened and my faith has been infiltrated. Please show me a sign, for if not I fear I will succumb to the darkside.
Help me Obi-wan, you're my only hope.
by Force on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Help me Obi-wan, you're my only hope.
by Jennifer on Dec 18, 2004 7:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Puppies!
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
what did I say a few weeks back...
but I really had no idea...
by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 8:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If pitching is mostly mental anyways..
Hudson was bad enough, but Mark too? Geez, talk about making a "fuckin' A" trade. It would seem to me that Mark's injuries have been freak at worst, and I would expect Mulder and Hudson to be 1-2 in Cy Young balloting in 2005. Mulder is THAT good, he said so himself, he hates to suck and that's makes him a winner right there. I mean, most of us have probably seen Mark in person at one time or another, he looks like the pinnacle of health really and built strongly.
I don't know... this'll be one hell of a season in 2005 though.
by cuppingmaster on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
how about this
Lose: Hattaberg (1b), Byrnes (OF), Durzao (dh)
Keep: Chavez(3b), Crosby (SS), Kendall (C), Kotsay (OF),
Add: Swisher (OF), Ginter (2b), Johnson (1B), Thomas/??? (DH), Beltran (OF)
by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I realize that...
by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 8:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Look for someone else
by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Carlos Delgado....
by Force on Dec 18, 2004 11:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
WE ARE NOT GETTING BELTRAN!!!!!!
by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but...
No, I agree the Beltran speculation's just bizarre. And I doubt he'll sign for 20 mil a year-- maybe 15 or 16, though.
by Captain Swordchucks on Dec 18, 2004 8:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
We couldn't have won in 2005 anyway:
by Josh on Dec 18, 2004 7:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
if everything stayed the same....
johnson
mussina
brown
wright
pavano
zito
harden
meyer
haren
blanton
by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Rotation Perspective
I can't keep up with all the A's changes, but our rotation is going to be, what, about $11 million or something (assuming the 3 rookies)? That would be less than the Yankees' average for a single starter.
by Nick on Dec 18, 2004 7:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Here's the comparison
by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 8:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Regret
I'd been quite happy having my heartbreak spread out in slow incriments, both Mulder and Hudson is just too much for me to take in one offseason.
The prospects we've received in return just... they don't convince me. In particular, who we received in the Mulder deal has left me scratching my head. I mean, it's a lovely package and all, but I'm not sure that it'll address our needs. And it sure looks like we're setting up for another all-pitch, no-pop season in '07 or '08 or whenever this team'll be able to come up for air at the top of the division again.
Adios Hudson, Mulder. You boys gave us a heck of a ride.
by Kyli on Dec 18, 2004 7:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Last 3 Games...
by AsGirl on Dec 18, 2004 9:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And yet he took the ball
I flew up from LA for that last series, but flew back down after Saturday's game. Now I'm pissed I missed Huddy's last start.
by bigthree17 on Dec 19, 2004 1:07 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
this is gonna' be some bumpy ride in'05, '06!
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 7:28 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
on a more global scale
by vk on Dec 18, 2004 7:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
be happy it could be worse!
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 7:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Got my breath knocked out of me
This is the one we had no warning about -- except some posts from what I thought were just trolls out to bother us in the midst of our mourning for Huddy.
by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 7:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
No fooling...
And I had just been getting more comfortable with where we were this afternoon..
Like Blez started with..can NOT believe we've seen the last games that both Hudson and Mulder have pitched for us.
The reality of our market has really hit hard right now..holding on to trust in Billy - maybe, as some of you suggest, he's not done yet..
by LongTimeFan on Dec 18, 2004 8:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Are DePo And Beane Drinking The Same Kool-Aid?
So, yeah, I feel your pain, A's fans... I really do.
by scareduck on Dec 18, 2004 8:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
dodgers and a's
by vk on Dec 18, 2004 9:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Isn't it ironic
I'm not stating any preferences about which 2 of the big 3 are hardest to part with--just noting the irony.
by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Further evidence that Major League Baseball sucks
I'm going to miss Huddy and Mulder big time. But being the long time loyal fan that I am I'll continue to root for the green and gold. Billy Beane is the best thing the A's have going for them. Without Billy there's a good chance we'd have a real good idea what it's like to be a Brewer or Royals fan.
And one more thing, there always doesn't have to be a winner and loser in a trade. Maybe everything will work out for the best for the Braves, Cards and A's. Maybe . . . wishful thinking I know, but maybe.
Thanks Blez.
Go A's!!!!
by Dwayne Murphy on Dec 18, 2004 8:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
couldn't beane have packaged kielty
by redclay22 on Dec 18, 2004 9:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Fire Sale vs Planning
I guess we can view the glass as half-empty or half-full. I always prefer to see it full. But the Coliseum glass is a tiny one, that's true.
I think Mulder went cheap.
I wonder if anyone in baseball actually keeps a player around anymore because of their intangibles -- clubhouse leadership, motivation, team spirit etc.
With all these off-season trades, I also have in the back of my mind the wondering about the steroids news. I keep wondering how some of these trades are being strategized.
Trades and motivations for trades are awfully hard things to analyze. Much social dynamic at work. Very hard, very hard.
by Dan_Honolulu on Dec 18, 2004 9:17 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I see through the same eyes
Intagibles.
Things like guidance and maturity go along way in a Big League locker room. I fear this kind of recklessness sets the tone for the acceptance of failure.
by Force on Dec 18, 2004 11:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Beane: Zito will not be traded
"We knew trading one was something we probably were going to have to do, but two was always a possibility," Beane said during a conference call Saturday night.
That said, Beane addressed Zito's status succinctly.
"Zito will not be traded," Beane said Saturday night.
by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 9:23 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Kendall
I was on board with the Huddy trade AFTER a few days, now this???? My non-moneyball mind cannot comprehend this, unless something big is happening. But, pitching being so important, getting rid of Huddy and Mulder seems insane.
Shit, we had Mulder for 2 MORE YEARS.....
by Masaryk on Dec 18, 2004 9:35 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Battle royal
I am going to enjoy watching the pitchers and catchers report.
by street69 on Dec 18, 2004 9:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Can Mulder Pass A Physical?
Any one remember 1976 when Finley sold Rudi and Fingers to Boston for $1 million- saw the game with both in Boston uniforms until Commissioner Kuhn stepped in because Finley was dumping players for cash....IS BB under similar orders before the scoundrels sell out?
Not being an alarmist but why trade your two best for let's see:
Meyer 19 - 19
Haren 3 -3
with Cruz and Calero the only ones with ML experience... and Thomas (aka TLong all over again?)
Ouch BB did not do A's fans any good for 2005, 2006, 2007......
by Morada Mudshark on Dec 18, 2004 9:45 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
jd drew
depo might sign him then deal to oak for byrnes, chadford, barton or another catching prospect.
jd is the holy grail pt. 2
by redclay22 on Dec 18, 2004 9:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!
(Pant, pant, pant)
It's only a game, I guess.
In 1988 when Kirk Gibson hit that home run (shudder shudder), I asked my mom if I could burn my Oakland A's sweatshirt. Today, it's my copy of Moneyball I want to burn.
Now that Billy's engaged in a more conventional managerial philosophy--the well-known fire sale by the cheapo team that decides it can't afford to actually compete for playoff spots--maybe Moneyball's sales will start to go down.
But probably not. I just saw a ton of copies at Borders last week, I guess it's still pretty popular, combining sports and business and all that. But if the A's slip back toward mediocrity, what's the verdict? Were the A's just lucky to have a bunch of prospects come up at the same time? Or did they come up with some revolutionary ways to evaluate talent, but now, thanks in large part to the publication of Moneyball--the rest of the league caught up, and the A's competitive advantage is gone?
Billy Beane may be a genius, but if I were Kenny Williams, I'd be closing the deal right now: Sandy Alomar Jr. (or if he's no longer a White Sock, some equally crappy bit player)-for-Barry Zito. I've never seen a genius so eager to make trades that make his fan base sick.
I believe in miracles, and go A's in '05. But if the A's do somehow contend, I don't want to see BB taking credit for it. Trade Beane!
by rubin sierra on Dec 18, 2004 10:27 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Don't eat the paint, Chimp.
by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why Zito?
zito is a big name. he's probably a bigger draw than mulder and hudson, even though he's probably the least loved of the three here on AN.
i'd like to see beane get rid of all the old dudes (zito, byrnes, dotel, bradford, kotsay, hatteberg) if we're going this route, but maybe zito (and possibly byrnes for similar reasons) will stay from the old regime because they do the sports show rounds and draw the fans...
of course, he's also got the fewest health problems of the three, plus a cy young.
and after two mediocre seasons in a row, he'd probably bring the least back to the a's in a trade.
by xbhaskarx on Dec 18, 2004 10:32 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
In Billy we Trust, In Billy We Trust...
by OaklandMike on Dec 18, 2004 10:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Last year Las Vegas put the total wins number, over-under, at 89; I wonder what it will be this year?
by steve g on Dec 19, 2004 7:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sweeney
by almostreggie on Dec 18, 2004 10:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I mean...
by OaklandMike on Dec 18, 2004 10:45 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Mound presence
Like Hudson, Mulder and Zito. Smile, the same guy who went after those players went after this new batch.
by grover on Dec 18, 2004 10:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So help me God, I am going to kill Linda Cohn
She called the As "the Kansas City Royals" today on ESPN. She interviewed some shmuck from USA Today. His analysis essentially consisted of this:
- This trade is a risk.
- The As have to make payroll.
Secondly, yes, it's true the As don't get to spend $200 mil like other East Coast teams, but it's not like they are dumping salary here. These are aggressive moves to try to get more bang for our buck instead of letting the players go in a few years. Controversial, yes. Salary dump, not at all.
There's a level of Hell for Linda Cohn. And if one doesn't already exist, I'm calling Dante and building it myself.
GO As!
by TwistNHook on Dec 18, 2004 11:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
the quality of the analysis available online...
by Cutthemullet on Dec 18, 2004 11:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Low Revenue Teams Must Rebuild
Fortunately, Billy Beane and Steve Schott clearly recognize this reality in far greater measure than other teams confronting low revenues. Correspondingly, the A's have acquired some of the finest young players in the game. They may not contend in 2005, but they will be contenders for years to come beyond that.
One theory on Mulder: When he was at AAA, his fastball was slightly above the MLB average. However when he got to the Bigs, he added several MPH to his heater. While I used to believe that was the result of Rick Peterson tinkering with his mechanics, the significant increase in Mulder's speed was a bit hard to comprehend. What else could account for it? Possibly steroids.
If the steroid theory has any validity and Billy Beane is aware of it, he doubtless realizes that with testing to come next season, Mulder would have to stop juicing. And without the increment in his fastball that better pitching through chemistry had given him, Mulder would be just an average starter.
Again, just a theory...
To get back to a balanced analysis to Beane's dealing of two aces, it's good to read this site and find such general appreciation of the A's economic realities and Beane's intelligent response. Like many of you, Ilook forward to the development of a fine, contending team in future seasons.
Of course, the events of the past few days have come as a bit of a shock, requiring a reordering of thinking for A's fans. And given said shock, we could all use some comic relief. So if you really need a laugh, check out the so-called "A's fans" on the OAFC site. They are the foremost whiners on the internet, with most of them marching in lockstep with their hate of the A's ownership, Billy Beane and Ken Macha. Correspondingly, a hilarious suicide watch is in order for these pathetic souls, as their "contraction conspiracies headed by Steve Schott" abound.
So for a good time, check that site out. As I said, we can all use a good laugh!
by reztips on Dec 18, 2004 11:34 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Mulder had a bad back
At least, that was the explanation at the time.
by Nick on Dec 19, 2004 7:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
New Stadium
http://www.ballparksofbaseball.com/future/A'sBallpark.htm
by paul75 on Dec 20, 2004 12:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
From the Cardinals board...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
rolen3B27 wrote:
A big reason the numbers say that this is the best pitchers' park in the AL is that three of the most talented pitchers in the AL have been pitching there for the past few years. I will agree that all of that foul territory and relatively spacious outfield are better for pitchers, but you have to give the pitchers themselves some credit.
You gotta realize that the way they determine is is how many runs per game (both A's and opponent) are scored at home compared to on the road.
Look at the big 3's stats lifetime ERA's home and away:
Mulder:
Home: 3.36
Away: 4.5
Hudson:
Home: 3.19
Away: 3.84
Zito:
Home 3.33
Away 3.49
so this is another thing: Look at how much Mulder has benifited from the spacious confines of the Oakland COlliseum. Besides the ERA, his lifetime record is 43-14 (.754) at home and 38-28 (.576) on the road.
--------
I can't vouch for these stats, but they are interesting, especially in Mulder's case. We know Mulder has always loved pitching in the Coliseum.
I do wonder if the Cardinals wanted Mulder all along, as I suspect, or if Zito was ever in the mix.
by bear88 on Dec 19, 2004 12:16 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: from the Cardinals board
by Mikkoo on Dec 19, 2004 12:38 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Busch is pretty roomy, too
If I were St. L I would check out his stats at places like Comerica and Safeco to predict how he'll do at Busch. He'll have a big outfield and an excellent defense (assuming they bother signing a SS, that is!) behind him. If he's healthy, he'll do fine. If he stays hurt, he could pitch in the Astrodome and he'll still get rocked.
by Nick on Dec 19, 2004 7:27 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just heard
by ak_A on Dec 19, 2004 12:49 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
bad press is our friend
The same thing is happening now. The more people think he's just dumping salary, the better it is for the A's. I'm convinced BB is pushing some new internal statistical metrics and ideas, probably revolving around injuries, value of certain kinds of prospects, and value of bullpen over starting pitching. Do we want everyone trying to figure out what the A's are doing? No. So let them all buzz about how awful the A's are going to be and how payroll is forcing our hand, etc.
And in the end, there is this simple fact. Huddy and Mulder sucked at the end of last season. If they still sucked at the start of 2005, that would really damage their trade value. If BB was going to move them, it was going to be a big risk to move them next year, and a small market team cannot survive big risks.
That said, I'm going to miss Huddy and Mulder. Huddy's 2-hit gem against Pedro was the best pitching I've ever seen, and Mulder provided some of the most efficient and speedy sub-2-hour complete game wins I've seen (gets you back home on Bart real early). I really hope they do well in the NL and compete for the Cy Young.
And let's thank all deities that H & M ended up in the NL. I might have had to tear my own head off if either of them had become one of the bastard Red Sox or Yankees.
- Apricot
by Apricot on Dec 19, 2004 6:55 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
That was a great game...
Me too! I was there for that game and it was simply the most dominating pitching I've ever seen.
by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 2:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I was gone
by linden on Dec 19, 2004 7:20 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
The 4 Aces comparison
Calero and Cruz are established big league relief pitchers. Haren and Meyer were both drafted out of college and have made the Show. Haren has nearly 120 innings of big league ball under his belt, that alone has got to put him head and shoulders above 3 if not all 4 of the 1990 Aces. Sure either one could suffer a career ending injury, but the same could be said for Mulder and Hudson. Barring injury Haren and Meyer will be in the A's 2005 rotation. Unlike Mulder and Hudson you can expect the two new additions to stay in the rotation through 2009.
by grover on Dec 19, 2004 10:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh yeah,
by linden on Dec 19, 2004 7:24 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
And then there's this...
There's hot talk that the Oakland A's are close to being sold to a group headed by Lewis Wolff, the megabucks Los Angeles developer whose possible emergence as a new owner was signaled last year when the team hired him to explore plans for a new stadium.
Wolff -- formerly a part owner of both the Golden State Warriors and St. Louis Blues hockey franchise -- isn't discounting the idea of taking over the A's, but says it's a bit early to tell how discussions will turn out.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2004/12/19/BAG0DAE6F01.DTL
by OaklandMike on Dec 19, 2004 8:26 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
But
by ohad on Dec 19, 2004 8:48 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The A's leaving Oakland
by OaklandSi on Dec 19, 2004 1:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
and in the Trib - Newhouse's knocking Billy
I'm still in shock, but think Newhouse is offbase here...Billy wants to win - didn't you hear Byrnes on the radio last night " Billy HATES to lose" -
by LongTimeFan on Dec 19, 2004 8:54 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Newhouse should wear a helmet
by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Mercury News article
I think Mark Purdy has succinctly said it all.
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 9:24 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Talk About Bad Reporters...
As for lousy reporters, Linden mentions Mike Lupica denigrating Schott. Since when has ANYONE who writes for the NY Daily News been considered anything other than an idiotic tabloid reporter?
Dave Newhouse is also cited by Linden. Newhouse has long been the laughingstock of Bay Area sports columnists--it's been said he couldn't spell cat if you spotted him the "c" and the "t".
But Newhouse's claims to being the definitive sports columnist lamebrain has long ago been usurped by Ray Fatso. Fatso is obsessed with his hatred of both Billy Beane and Steve Schott and he has said so at every opportunity. Both his prejudices and lack of cranial capacity render him incapable of comprehending the A's economic realities and the long view Beane has taken in the necessary rebuilding of a low revenue team.
Perhaps the worst trade we have seen in the Bay Area was not the dealing of the A's two aces. Rather it was the forced retirement of the Bay Area's best columnist, Glenn Dickey, and the elevation of a total moron, Ray Fatso, as the paper's lead sports columnist.
by reztips on Dec 19, 2004 9:30 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Newhouse is a dipshit
Really? Then please explain, Mr. Newhouse, how the A's will pay for all these large salaries in the upcoming years? Bake sales?
by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 2:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Zito won't be traded
"Even when you don't understand something while it's happening, you just have to trust him on it. His track record speaks for itself."
-Barry Zito
Still wondering why he wasn't traded?
by TravelingAsFan on Dec 19, 2004 9:46 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Can't Even Judge '05 yet...
Right now we have 3 rookies + Harden in the rotation, and 3-5 "right-handed power arm" relievers (Cruz, Calero, Dotel, Garcia, Street). I think BB intends to move something from the bullpen and add something to the rotation, before it's all said and done.
And when it's done, I think BB's plan is to try to emulate the "success plan" of the '02-'04 Angels and the '04 Rangers--get serviceable starts (e.g. 6 IP, 3 runs) throughout the rotation, put together an offense that can score 4+ runs consistently, and keep enough bullpen depth/dominance that you have to "get us by the 6th inning or you don't get us."
It's SO different from the A's 01-04 plan that it's hard to fathom. But so far, doesn't all the evidence point to this as BB's hope for how the A's can compete in '05-06 while they retool the foundation?
by Nico on Dec 19, 2004 10:40 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
2005 and inexperienced pitchers
But going with a lot of young arms does have its risks. In 1997, bright prospect 25 year-old Steve Karsay in his first full season as starter had 24 starts, a 3-12 record, 5.77 ERA (I think this was before the arm problems). Likewise, Jimmy Haynes (also 25 yrs old) had 13 starts, going 3-6 and 4.42 ERA. No less than nine pitchers started at least 10 games. The eldest of that group was Dave Telgheder at the ripe old age of 30 (and an ERA over 6).
Reliever Aaron Small (remember him?), another 25 year-old, led the team in wins with 9 while appearing in 71 games. While I don't predict a 1997 season for 2005, there's no assurance that live arm prospects Haren (age 25) and Dan Meyer (age 23) are going to have breakout seasons (let alone win 10 games).
But with the logjam of middle relievers, are we seeing the rebirth of the Tony LaRussa (aborted experiment of) 4 inning starters and lots of relievers?
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 11:34 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
La Russa 2
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just to clarify
by linden on Dec 19, 2004 10:43 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Bell Curve
I think M&R had it right this morning: Schott and Hofmann are dumping assets prior to selling the team -- at a huge, almost circus-like profit -- and I think the "Chronicle" beat reporter got the tone right, for once, in noting that Mulder's reaction wasn't nearly as intense as it was to the Hudson deal: he knows the A's are finished and was no longer emotionally invested. My guess is that his first, primary reaction was relief.
by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 10:49 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Please tell us
It appears that you are equating the term bell curve with a normal distribution. The normal distribution is a theoretical distribution. If you had 10,000 data points you still wouldn't have a normal distribution. You might, however, have a distribution that is approximately normal. The shape of the distribution doesn't depend on the size of the sample.
by Reg on Dec 19, 2004 9:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You know, if you trade two of the best pitchers...
I think that part of the national reaction to this is mourning: the A's were always the counterexample to the argument that winning in baseball is strictly about money.
There are no counterexamples now. That's what's got everybody so unhappy. For two-thirds of baseball franchises, from now until the foreseeable future, there's no point in pretending that they can win the World Series.
by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 10:53 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't want to pass judgement...yet.
There are major differences in the two organizations, or so I think. Oakland seems to have a plan for the future. They stick to their plan and get players that will fit in their system. The Royals seem to get players because they are "names" and performed in the past (see Juan Gone and Benito Santiago). I don't think the Royals organization looks at the future, but tries to win immediately to please fans and boost attendance. I did, however, applaud them for what they acquired for Carlos Beltran. They could've got a bag of peanuts and some sunflower seeds, but they got some young players that could help in the future. Time will tell if they work out.
I also think the A's have a better farm system than the Royals. The Royals don't fill their weaknesses as well as the A's seem to, and it catches up with them.
But what the hell do I know? :)
I'm going to wait until I see what the kids can do.
by Jennifer on Dec 19, 2004 11:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
it happens every year...
Seriously, these kinds of teams are more appealing to me, as a fan, than watching a veteran team winning the same number of games.
by Rangla on Dec 19, 2004 11:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Our beloved Oakland Brewers
Still, while the Hudson trade by itself could've been forgiven as staying-in-budget-while-staying-competitive, combining it with the Mulder trade two days later, you have to admit the A's are throwing "being competitive" to the winds. Maybe they will get lucky and maybe the prospects will immediately unleash a ton of previously-unshown potential. But that's not the way to bet.
As for Billy, I hope he resigns or leaves town soon, because I'm sick of the posts on this sight extolling his virtues, "in Billy we trust," etc. There is no reason to trust in Billy on these trades.
Remember back in '99, when we traded Kenny Rogers to the Mets to T-Long? It seemed like the beginning of a typical small-market-team salary dump, but then the A's turned around and picked up Omar Olivares and Kevin Appier, or something like that. The A's had not done nothing to appear noncompetitive since then, UNTIL NOW. There's nothing wrong with being small market, but when small market teams do stuff like this, they become boring and irrelevant, the only benefit being less traffic around the Coliseum.
Coming soon: the less-sexy sequel to Moneyball--continuing to make a large profit by fielding a crappy team. For all the talk about which players are over- and under-valued, Billy is looking like the guy who, in the midst of this, is seeing his OWN value evaporate.
by rubin sierra on Dec 19, 2004 12:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The twins
by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 1:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Hudson trade depressed me; Mulder? I get it.
But after the Hudson deal, it was obvious the team was not going to do what we wanted. The owners are too cheap.
If you're going to dump salary and try to acquire a bunch of talented prospects, why not do it all now? Why drag out the process? Why risk Mulder not bouncing back from his 2004 meltdown if you were going to trade him after the season anyway? It was obvious, from listening to Beane's press conference after the Hudson trade, that he was going to be dealing Mulder or Zito after the 2005 season if he had kept them.
At this point, we are the Royals and the Pirates and the Brewers - only with smarter management, and therefore a chance at coming back in a couple of years.
by bear88 on Dec 19, 2004 11:53 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Not the Brewers
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Smale market?
by ogallalabob on Dec 20, 2004 2:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Justin Duchscherer
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:03 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
...or...
The Royals, Brewers and Pirates aren't who they are just because they're dumber than we are, although they probably are. This kind of downward spiral is very hard to escape from.
Vis. the small-market thing, I think the A's, Twins and Marlins have conclusively proven that you can win 90 games in a small market environment if all the cards fall the right way. In an organization that has a brief supernova of young talent -- that would describe the A's of a couple of years ago -- you can even win 100.
And, as Beane is so fond of saying, once the playoffs start, anything can happen.
But the odds are against any team entering the playoffs, and unless a small-market team hits that window just right, they miss it.
Let's say, for argument's sake, that a small-market team can make the playoff two years out of ten, and win the World Series one year out of eight that they do. That would mean one World Series championship every 40 years.
by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 12:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
And yet ...
You gut your franchise of all its talent and entrust the team to a bunch of kids, sure nothing's impossible and the kids might compete (as in the movie "Major League"), but the conduct of the management is flat-out disappointing. I am even more pissed at Schott than I was when he complained about attendance to the playoffs in '03, when all tickets were at least $35 a pop.
by rubin sierra on Dec 19, 2004 12:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Attendance
by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
we've got another supernova of good rooks in '05!
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 19, 2004 2:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
AAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 19, 2004 1:57 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Thoughts
Is it better to do all of the retooling at once?
Does it hurt more to continually lose players, or lose a bunch at the same time?
Why Danny Haren instead of Jimmy Journell? I have to think the A's should have gotten more for Mulder.
Is it the A's system, philiosophy of pitch counts, and stadium, or is it the players themselves, that made the Big 3 the Big 3?
Beane was pretty kind in trading Hudson and Mulder to teams near their hometowns, and also not trading them to any of our most hated teams.
There's definitely a stockpile of catching and relief pitching. What now?
If there is a market correction, are the A's now in a better chance to take advantage of it next season?
I think the A's will acquire at least one more starting pitcher.
Will Beane lock up Zito?
Will Mulder and Hudson be competing for the Cy Young? It seems Hudson as the edge being the #2 in Atlanta (in theory, a few easier wins early on, and a weaker division)?
Can the A's win with this team? I think so actually... could be something like Michigan's Fab 5 in the NCAA a few years back.
Only Beane could pull off this sort of shake-up the past two years. He has basically completed a fire sale without announcing it, allowing him to get much better talent than Florida received during their sale.
What one year free agents should Beane sign to provide some veteran leadership for this now very young roster?
Wow.
by dylan on Dec 19, 2004 2:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
michigan's fab 5?
please dont say fab 5.
by redclay22 on Dec 19, 2004 4:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
fab five
are you accusing the a's of being a bunch of underachievers?
also, the fab five didn't win it all, so saying that the a's could win like the fab five doesn't really mean much...
by xbhaskarx on Dec 19, 2004 4:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
ouch
I guess my point was something bigger that I didn't really enumerate... that pitchers often perform better early in their career than later. Obviously there are major exceptions to this (Randy Johnson and Roger Clemens, to name two of many), but it seems that unknown pitchers often have an early advantage in their career, and the A's system is one that keeps young pitchers healthy, which is often the thing that sidelines a younger pitcher. So I think a rotation with 4 rookies could catch a lot of teams by surprise, and perhaps give the A's a fast start to their season.
In no way was this comparison meant to suggest that these players would underachieve or never win it all. Relax....
by dylan on Dec 19, 2004 9:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Try Larkin as the vetran.
by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 19, 2004 5:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
help me i am in hell
(throws chair)
Arggh!
by scooter o on Dec 20, 2004 8:22 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

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