Hudson On the Block?
It appears as though Tim Hudson's name is going to be tossed about in trade conversations over the next several weeks.
And you know what? It's a smart move. At least to start feeling the Tim Hudson market out.
The A's are unlikely to keep Hudson because frankly, he's outperformed the scope of the franchise. By that, I mean, that he's too expensive for the A's to keep without hanging most of their entire budget on two players, Chavez and now Hudson.
So, while the Newark Star-Ledger is claiming that Hudson is on the block for Posada, and the Boston Herald is claiming that Hudson could be considered for Trot Nixon, the truth is that Hudson would likely be gone after this year any way.
Billy Beane is not stupid enough to trade a pitcher of Hudson's caliber unless he feels like the chances to resign the stud righty are remote at best. Beane has always been rumored to love Nixon and if he can somehow also get Kevin Youkilis included in the deal, then I think Beane seriously contemplates it.
Mulder and Zito, on the other hand, have struggled just enough to hurt their perceived value. Zito has been inconsistent since the 2002 Cy Young season and Mulder has struggled with injuries at key times, not to mention his stumbling finish this year.
I'm not saying this because I want it to happen. I don't think you can ever get enough for a pitcher of Hudson's caliber.
Hudson may not be on the block. It might just be some overzealous East Coast media types starting these rumors (surprise, surprise!), but trading anyone on the team, especially someone entering his final year of a contract, is a very real possibility so we better get ourselves mentally ready for a deal like this.
Next week there will be general manager meetings in Florida, and if you think the rumors are flying now, just you wait. It's only the beginning.
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Huddy
(I know, I know, we've gotten good players that way, but for once, let's get something for one of our stars NOW.)
All Three Gone by '07
I think that at this point we have to prepare ourselves for the fact that all members of the Big Three will be playing for other teams in '07.
With the farm system fairly well stocked after several years of productive drafts, our needs right now probably skew toward AAA/MLB-ready talent. Which is another good argument for trading Hudson rather than stockpiling yet more draft picks.
Two years from now, though, Mulder and Zito will probably be better let go for draft picks.
Hudson in Bean town
Stick The Bullog in Boston's rotation and just watch The Boss flip over that one. Frankly I could care less about Boston's or NY's "problems" this off-season. I just hope that if BB pulls the trigger on a trade, that we'll all call him brilliant next October.
Contenders
not just young or cheap!
Young and cheap are how it goes often!
The operative word though is "under-valued"!
Case in point is Kotsay.
Kotsay is neither young nor cheap!
-but he was undervalued by San Diego!
Turned out to be a 'poster boy' case for Beane and Moneyball.
2nd case in point: Durazo!
not young but was cheap!
-was undervalued by Arizona!
The list goes on ... Foulke ... Isringhausen ...
by Bleed Green on Nov 3, 2004 10:06 AM PST up reply actions
Young and cheap
Normally so! -but for the '05 Yanks ... maybe not!
I see an exception 'brewing' against normal ...
and it's the 2005 Yankees
This is what I alluded to in my posting of Moneyball and small payroll (below)
Having just been humilated (in numerous ways) by their grudge rivals I see some big changes coming for the Bronx Bombers.
Problem for Cashman is the same one that kept him from getting Johnson in July ...
-he's got no prospects to deal!
-he does have cash !
( this is going to be one of the fun things for this off-season !!! How much is The Boss willing to spend! )
-he's also got players they don't want:
-Vasquez (word out of NY is the nickname for Vasquez is "Javier Weaver" -that's rough! )
-Brown
-Giambi
-maybe even Loaiza!
Can Billy get value out of Yankee cast-offs ?
You Bet!
by Bleed Green on Nov 4, 2004 11:08 AM PST up reply actions
Most of the yankees front office
maybe we can con 'em...
by rickeytime on Nov 4, 2004 6:06 PM PST up reply actions
agreed
by AlwaysSweatin on Nov 3, 2004 3:02 PM PST up reply actions
Definitely
of Moneyball and small payroll
Based on Moneyball, the payroll and the team needs it comes as no surprize to see Huddy rumors flying around out there.
Their is 'hope' in all of this for the AN ...
-as much as we love Huddy and don't want to see him leave ...
-Steinbrenner is not going to sit still ...
-Cashman is pretty much limited to the players he has and however many truckloads of
cash The Boss will tell him to use ...
If the Yankees really want Hudson then Billy basically has them over a barrel!
-this could be fun! ;-)
by Bleed Green on Nov 3, 2004 9:59 AM PST reply actions
Now, or Later
I agree with Doug that the Yankees and Red Sox don't exactly present outstanding trade options. I'm thinking that pushing them down to the wire mid-season might be the best way to extract quality AAA/MLB-caliber players and/or lower-level prospects, get the trading partner to pick up significant payroll, and any cash as well.
The one argument against a mid-year deal is whether Hudson already has a FA destination in mind. If he's unlikely to sign with Boston or NY (or wherever else he's traded), then of course we'd be likely to get less in a mid-season deal.
I still think Huddy's ultimate destination is Atlanta. Whether the Braves are the best trading partner is another question.
Hudson to Atlanta for....
chipper
by ucla kid on Nov 4, 2004 3:23 PM PST up reply actions
He can play LF
Jones in LF, Kotsay in CF, Swisher/Kielty in RF.
Byrnes can be used to fill any needs. We can get a decent infielder, or a decent bullpen guy, or even a 4/5th starter for Eric.
They moved him to 3B
I actually think a good destination
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 3, 2004 10:11 AM PST reply actions
But do the Reds really need him?
I said this in a trade-scenario thread somewhere upstream, but I'll say it again: in what universe are the Reds contenders in '05?
Linder is a cheaper and more bastardly cheap bastard than Schott (our Schott, that is, not Cinti's Schott). No chance they'll sign him. And I don't know that even they could be convinced of the wisdom of a 1-year rental at the expense Beane would demand.
Now, the Cardinals would be a sensible location for Hudson next year; perhaps a three-way among Oakland, Cincinnati, and St. Louis?
You absolutely read my Mind!!
as a reds fan
and trust me on this the reds have no ace's
they could use Huddy but i love huddy in oakland....would love him to stay in the green and gold because the only way the red could do a trade is if they offer Casey or Dunn or Kearns and few minor leaguers and with Casey's contract being extended and Dunn setting up as being a franchise player....and....Kearns is going to thrown at third next year with the emergence of Freel and Willy Mo Pena......Huddy to the reds would be nice from a standpoint but personally i'm rooting for huddy to ink a new deal
by TorontoAsFan on Nov 3, 2004 11:19 AM PST up reply actions
That other New York team
by Melissa on Nov 3, 2004 10:21 AM PST reply actions
If Hudson is Traded
by bayfrank on Nov 3, 2004 10:23 AM PST reply actions
Trading Huddy
'05 hopes
by bmonic on Nov 3, 2004 10:37 AM PST up reply actions
Posada
Hmm... how about Mariano Rivera? No, it will never happen but it would be a heck of a fun rumor.
by matthias on Nov 3, 2004 10:45 AM PST reply actions
Posada
I agree though - I like it better that the Nixon deal. And Posada is a switch hitter.
Posada......
by AlwaysSweatin on Nov 3, 2004 3:09 PM PST up reply actions
Posada
what about getting a guy liek Paul Lo Duca from the dodgers??
by TorontoAsFan on Nov 3, 2004 11:21 AM PST reply actions
Uhm...
I heard a story from JP last year that a GM actually called him during the season about a trade (forget who) and asked if Sean Greene was available. Since he hadn't played for the Jays in 2 years, JP hung up the phone. Thought I would mention it.
i agree with "bayfrank"....
i still believe zito to the mets for wright or white sox for c. lee
damnit
we all new this day was looming. if we have to give huddy 4 years at $50M or so, that just doesn't seem to work with our budget (unless we don't need any other players). i can't imagine he starts the year as an Athletic, and that really saddens me. i'm confident Beane can get a great package for him though, certainly something better than Jorge Posada.
by Eric in Atlanta on Nov 3, 2004 11:42 AM PST reply actions
sigh
by TorontoAsFan on Nov 3, 2004 11:44 AM PST reply actions
huddy
"Cohen said he last spoke with Beane in September. They will discuss Hudson's status again later this month after Beane returns from next week's general managers' meetings in Key Biscayne, Fla.
Cohen would not disclose the terms of the deal Hudson is seeking but indicated Hudson wants a long-term contract at top dollar. Cohen said he considered Hudson among baseball's best five pitchers."
Does anybody really see Huddy signing for less than Colon money? If we're lucky we'll get him for 4 years-50 mil or so, but I dont think that will be sufficient. BB cannot tie up 30-40% of the payroll in 2 players, can he? Even if he can, that means AT LEAST one of the Big 3 has to go, and soon. I'm sorry, Mark Mulder, but that means you. It's been nice knowin ya and watchin that lanky frame chuck balls for 2 hours and 9 innings, but you've been injury-prone forever. . . back injury weightlifting, mysterious hip injury (non-baseball related activities, of course), mysterious forearm strain, the list goes on and on. You'll never achieve a full season of that Cy Young form you flash for a couple months at a time. . . at least we've seen Zito keep his head in the game for a full season.
So I'm sorry Mark, but you'll be traded whenever the team needs a bat really badly. You might as well set something up for us with the ChiSox for Carlos Lee. . .
On another note. . . did anybody see the Chronicle story from last Saturday about Larry Ellison wanting to buy the Warriors or Forty-Whiners? Why would a businessman like him be interested in seriously under-performing and over-valued franchises like those, when the A's are uber-competitive and definitely under-valued. I think Schott and Hoff would take less than 300 mil for the team and Ellison could easily build a new park in the north parking lot. Or he could wake up and realize we don't need a new stadium, and just pump in an extra 20 mil a year . . . wouldnt that be nice?
by kotsbots on Nov 3, 2004 11:48 AM PST reply actions
Will Huddy want to sign?
Its one thing for the A's to even offer 'Colon' money ...
It'd be another for Huddy to sign ...
-not only is he going to want the right amount of bucks...
-he's also going to want to be on a contender!
In the current 'Schott' state if Huddy gets what he's worth the A's will be Hudson, Chavy
and a whole lot of low-dollars filling out the team ...
-doesn't sound like much of a contender ...
IMO Beane sees all of this and is working to get something for Huddy that will help the team
for years to come with a lower payroll impact.
by Bleed Green on Nov 3, 2004 11:58 AM PST up reply actions
the shawn green anecdote
by kotsbots on Nov 3, 2004 11:50 AM PST reply actions
That's just them hoes talking that shit
by Pico Ballings on Nov 3, 2004 1:47 PM PST reply actions
the A's also want to contend
Of course other teams want him and will start all kinds of rumors. Until I hear this coming directly from Beane I won't believe that it's more than wishful thinking and/or Beane doing a 'bait and switch'.
On the other hand, if it turns out that the A's can't sign Hudson, then perhaps Billy will entertain BIG, meaningful offers that will put the A's in the postseason and hopefully, win. Trot Nixon bats lefty, is expensive and too often injured.
Negative Margin
I always viewed baseball as a reflection of our society. That is, possibly where my true love of the sport is found. Today, that seems more than true. Its the haves vs. the have nots. The difference between the Yankees of the world and the Athletics seems to be widening. Mediocrity is on the way to Oakland. The margin for error by a small market is getting smaller by the day. The secrets of Moneyball were great while it lasted. I'm just a little upset.
by Parklife on Nov 3, 2004 2:05 PM PST reply actions
The Machine
Trading Huddy to NL Contender
I know Huddy would welcome a trade to the NL. Dude rakes at the plate.
Huddy will go the Washington Senators...
I'm sure it's not set in stone, who will stay and who will go. Billy's just going to bide his time until somebody makes him an offer he can't refuse.
I just pray it's not Hudson that goes.
I wonder how Billy ranks the Big Three in value.
I think it should be:
1)Huddy
2)Mulder
3)Zito
I don't doubt
So it's either trade him this offseason, trade him leading up to the deadline or risk losing him for a few draft picks.
I trust Billy will get the most for him.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 3, 2004 2:56 PM PST up reply actions
Trading Hudson
I say raid Baltimore!
Plunder the Pirates!
Mug the Mets!
Bamboozel the Phillies!
Or something like that.
Can we realistically afford any of the Big Three
We know that this is it for Huddy and 2 more years on the other two. So who's going to bring the most in return? I suppose if we could use the wisdom of Solomon, we'd take Huddy's arm, Zito's leg's, and Mulder's efficiency and throw the rest of the used parts to the rest of the league...I know, not realistic and maybe borderline psychotic.
So what does the future hold for us? The answer may be in the past. Organizations such as the Dodgers, Cardinals, Orioles established strong teams for extended periods of time through a superior farm system, emphasizing pitching and defense. Billy's already there with this organization. The biggest difference b/w then and now is free agency. Well, baseball just signed a huge deal with satellite radio for MLB games. Maybe this raises budget by a few mill for each team. Probably not enough for most teams but we are, after all, moneyball central and if BB can't make more out of less, I don't know who can. Thank God, he's on our side.
I suppose through the strength of our farm, it will be exciting and a little painful who the next Big Three will be. Now we are waiting for Harden to "cowboy up" and let's see who comes afterward.
You had me until
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 3, 2004 4:04 PM PST up reply actions
re: Cowboy Up
Re: Harden, I hope he's our next Ace to make the rest of MLB drool in envy.
That exactly why I don't like
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 3, 2004 4:23 PM PST up reply actions
Harden will be.....
by GreenNGoldGirl on Nov 3, 2004 4:31 PM PST up reply actions
Apologies to Blez
Can we just once
by TheO4Ever on Nov 3, 2004 5:09 PM PST reply actions
Hudson to ... Indians?
Martinez is like the Pudge of 5 years ago + the Posada of 4 years ago. Very good defense, cannon for an arm, and a switch-hitter with very good OPS and SLG. And he's only just completed his second year. He's cheap (and will be for several years) and has established himself as the up-and-coming C in the AL.
Cleveland has a very good backup C in Josh Bard and a can't-miss C prospect coming up in Ryan Garko, so Martinez (though he is supposedly a team leader and a building block for Shapiro) is conceivably expendable for the right price.
Hudson would give the Tribe a front-line ace for a push in '05 to contention, with a chance to sign him to a big contract (or flip him before the trade deadline). Rhodes would give them a solid closer or setup man (their 'pen this year was astonishingly bad -- Rhodes would be an improvement).
What would we get out of this? Well, probably the #1 C next year in the AL, locked up for cheap through his arbitration year. This would also enable us to deal from a position of strength and turn some of our bonanza of catching prospects into other solutions (RH OF bat). We also ditch Rhodes' albatross of a contract.
Yup, it would
Perhaps Beane could start off by offering some kind of Hudson-for-Garko deal (obviously, with more components); Shapiro counters that no way in heck is Beane getting his hands on Garko; Beane then suggests Martinez ...
Anyway, what I like about the deal as I suggested it is that both sides give up a lot of quality to solve immediate needs without sacrificing too much by way of long-term value. The Tribe is more loaded with prospects right now than we are; they genuinely do need some players with established MLB performance levels.
For Huddy?
If he has to go, LaDuca and Mota should be the standard. What about Pat Burrel, Tim Worrel, and Jimmmy Rollins? What about Lance Berkman and Brad Lidge? That's the kind of value that Huddy should have. Especially if we are throwing in a Rhodes or Byrnes.
But again, he is going nowhere. We will build around Huddy, Zito and Harden. If Schott does not give Beane the budget to do this, we could be watching Beane leaving soon.
Not even close
Victoe Martinez might be the best offensive catcher in the AL. He's only 25 and last year made a little over the league minimum. Young, cheap and good. It would take more than one year of Hudson to get that kind of player from Cleveland.
Minors
Maybe
But they're still "just" prospects at this point.
Martinez has proven beyond a doubt that he can both hit and catch ML-level pitching. That proven ML-level performance is a huge value-add for a young, cheap player. Huge.
I'm not hatin' on Baker, Brown, Suzuki et al. On the contrary -- I think they're all highly valuable, but probably more so as trade bait than as anything we should count on to provide production at the ML level.
And they could all go bust very easily. Catching prospects aren't as volatile as pitching prospects, but they're close.
funny how our tunes change
Rhodes would give them a solid closer or setup man
solid closer? i think we need to give other GMs a little credit. sure, the indians need bullpen help, but certainly Rhodes and his $3M contract aren't on a most wanted list of GMs around the league. i think they'd eat it if it meant getting one of the big three, but i doubt anybody wants him.
by Eric in Atlanta on Nov 4, 2004 4:39 AM PST up reply actions
Context
Look, yes, Rhodes had a bad year, no doubt about it. But he's still a left-handed reliever with an established MLB performance level (a bit below what it was a couple years ago, but still). Rhodes really does represent a big step up from the Indians' pen last year.
And if you look at comparable pitchers, Rhodes' contract isn't quite so bad.
I'd say, if the Indians were willing to do the deal on the condition that we covered $1-2M of Rhodes salary '04-05, I'd still do it. Martinez is that good.
ok, good points
i need to remember that while rhodes was a bust as a closer for us, really the contract isn't bad if he can be an above average lefty setup man. which he has been in the past.
i didn't realize how good martinez was until i looked at his numbers. nice numbers, especially for a 25 year-old catcher. ok, i'm sold on the deal. :)
by Eric in Atlanta on Nov 4, 2004 9:09 AM PST up reply actions
Just don't hate on BB
by PJGiza on Nov 3, 2004 10:10 PM PST reply actions
Huddy Trade Talk
Just the thought of Huddy not being on the A's is scary, saddening, and every other miserable feeling :(
Please A's, resign him!
yea I'm in NJ, I would throw up
he boston deal getting Trot Nixon and Youkilis wouldnt be as bad though
by PJGiza on Nov 4, 2004 8:23 AM PST reply actions
Nixon and Youks for Hudson?
- I find it hard to believe the Sox would trade Nixon AND Youkilis for Hudson. Youks is one of the most marketable players the Sox have -- he is major-league ready and has a long way to go before becoming a FA.
- There is no chance the Sox would trade for Hudson without first signing him beyond 2005.
- I would be surprised if the A's were interested in a guy with Nixon's injury history. I'd think they would have had their fill of injury-prone right fielders at this point.
- I suspect this rumor is a pipe dream floated by a Boston writer trying to stir things up. I don't buy it.
Why get Youks?
by secret ASian man on Nov 4, 2004 5:11 PM PST up reply actions
Because he could easily play first...
Or he could even move to left field.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 4, 2004 5:18 PM PST up reply actions
and/or ...
Now, I'm not saying we should start another lengthy "trade Chavvy" thread (and I'm definitely in the camp that thinks Beane chose correctly in signing Chavez instead of Tejada).
But the concept should be entertained ...
Why Nixon?
He's not worth the price.
Huddy's Value
If we put our emotions aside, could the A's improve themselves if one of their big three is traded? The A's will not trade for prospects two to three years away or for over priced veterans.
Could the Duke be a better than average starter? Could Blanton fill Duke's roll? These kind of questions have to answered before a trade is made.
by jarforcefatherofforce on Nov 4, 2004 2:00 PM PST reply actions
A's free agents
by jarforcefatherofforce on Nov 4, 2004 2:22 PM PST reply actions
That makes no sense
Huddy's Market Value
If its a 4 or 5-Year Deal that looks something like this - You gotta keep Huddy in Oakland:
2006 - 8 Million
2007 - 9 Million
2008 - 10 Million
2009 - 11 Million
2010 - 12 Million (Club Option)
If it has to be 2M more per year than the above, then let the Huddy shopping begin. In the meantime, I would lock down Zito, Mulder, and Harden through 2010. Mulder and Zito's Value is very low right now, so extending their contract this offseason makes perfect business sense, especially if Huddy is on the outs.
i disagree
by David Owen on Nov 4, 2004 6:11 PM PST up reply actions
Sorry, Buddy
this is a joke
think about this: chavez was the ONLY position player to play on both the 2000 a's and the 2004 a's. just because we continued to compete doesn't make that okay with me. this is NOT fantasy baseball.
mlb needs to do something about this. the owners are greedy, the players are greedy, and the agents are worse than both. the way the nfl shares tv revenue works. mlb has no clue. i love the a's more than almost anything in my life, but mlb is terrible. i love the game, and, if i have to, i'll start going to college games or something because this is an absolute joke that we are even discussing this.
by David Owen on Nov 4, 2004 6:07 PM PST reply actions
i agree but...
You'll never change the greed factor. In the old days the players got screwed royally. Today the ones who make it big get rich. But think of all the scrubs who work like hell just to get in a season or two of MLB. They still have to work just like us. I think it's OK that they all have the big $$ to shoot for. It's the American dream.
I'd rather they trade Mulder or Zito and use the $$ to keep Hudson. Even though he's older he's the one out of the Big 3 I'd like to see stay.
Who on the 2000 team would you want
by A s Avengers Dad on Nov 7, 2004 11:14 AM PST up reply actions
A's trades
by jarforcefatherofforce on Nov 4, 2004 9:36 PM PST reply actions
WHY WHY WHY
Value
We could get someone for Durazo.
Durazo is a free agent
by A s Avengers Dad on Nov 7, 2004 11:07 AM PST up reply actions
What he said!
I think we're going to have the answers
And I do think that one of the Big Three is going to be traded because of Rich Harden's remarkable development and the organizational belief that Joe Blanton can be a solid contributor next season.
And ultimately, Hudson would bring the greatest returns and he is probably unlikely to resign.
It's very sad...but it's something we may have to live with as A's fans.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Nov 4, 2004 10:09 PM PST reply actions
Who in the A's organization says Blanton is ready?
No way would I trade one of the Big Three on the assumption that Blanton is ready!
players coming and going
that's why the only answer is a salary cap.
Implement it over a 3/5 year period to let the teams adjust to the current contracts.
A team can only have 25 players on the roster and if the yanks,bosox et al, sign other teams players to 100 mill.contracts over 6/7 years
(Giambi,Sheffield etc) they would be stuck with the players and couldn't steal others because there
would be no room on the team and no money under the cap. This cap could be set fairly high.
That's my opinion anyway.
by sommers on Nov 5, 2004 6:14 AM PST reply actions

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